PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Monday. Yesterday’s NAP Caravaggio WON 9/10 completing a hat-trick of winning naps 11/10, 9/10 and 9/10.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Brighton 2-25: David Probert has a healthy 21% strike rate with his rides at Brighton, his mount Storm City is 4.1.
Brighton 3-25: Philip Hide has a healthy 25% strike rate with his runners around Brighton, Black Caesar is 2.78.
Perth 2-05: Richard Johnson has an impressive long-term strike rate of 31% over hurdles at Perth, he rides Skeaping at 2.34.
Perth 3-05: Gordon Elliott has an excellent 34% long-term strike rate with his runners over hurdles at Perth, Dawerann is 4.8.
Perth 3-35: Fergal O’Brien has saddled close to double his expected winners over fences at Perth, Master Dee is 4.3.
Newton Abbot 2-15: Noel Fehily has a nice 21% strike rate with his rides over hurdles at Newton Abbot, Vancouver is 2.88.
Newton Abbot 4-15: Philip Hobbs has a healthy 22% strike rate over hurdles at Newton Abbot, he saddles Quadriller at 1.93.
Listowel 2-30: Willie McCreery has a way over expected strike rate of 21% around Listowel, he saddles Lustful at 15.5.
Listowel 5-30: Gordon Elliott and Davy Russell have a nice long-term strike rate of 20% together, they have Ceide Fields at 8.0.
Brighton 2-55: Charlie Appleby is not far away from only having half of his expected winners at Brighton, he saddles Rastrelli at 3.1.
Brighton 3-55: Dean Ivory and Jack Duern are very close to only having half of their expected winners together, Vaudieu is 25.0.
Brighton 4-25: Jack Mitchell has rode less than one third of his expected winners at Brighton, his mount Oden is 3.55.
Brighton 5-25: George Wood is very close to only having one third of his expected winners at Brighton, Intimately is 9.4.
Perth 2-35: Derek Fox has had less than half of his expected winners over fences at Perth, he takes the ride on Miss Joeking at 14.5.
Perth 4-05: Iain Jardine has saddled less than half of his expected winners over hurdles at Perth, he has Pads at 3.8.
Newton Abbot 2-45: Harry Cobden is not far away from only having one third of his expected winners over fences at Newton Abbot, he rides Third Act at 3.5.
Newton Abbot 3-15: Fergal O’Brien has only had one third of his expected winners over hurdles at Newton Abbot, he saddles Might Leader at 13.5.
Listowel 3-00: Colin Keane is very close to only having half of his expected winners at Listowel, his mount Free To Roam is 10.5.
Listowel 3-30: Seamie Heffernan has rode less than half of his expected winners from his rides at Listowel, Gameasapebble is 16.0.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: BLACK CAESAR 3-25 Brighton, at around 2.78.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: ODEN 4-25 Brighton, at around 3.55.
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