PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Saturday.


With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.

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Ascot 1-15: Wayne Hutchinson has a nice 21% strike rate with his rides over hurdles around Ascot, his mount Criq Rock is 11.5.

Ascot 1-50: Paul Nicholls has a healthy 23% strike rate with his runners over fences around Ascot, he has the favourite Arpege D’alene at 2.62.

Ascot 2-25: Paul Nicholls and Sean Bowen have an impressive 26% strike rate together, they team up with Virak currently trading 8.6.

Ascot 3-00: Harry Fry has saddled more than double his expected winners from his runners over hurdles at Ascot, Air Horse One is 8.6.

Haydock 3-15: Paul Nicholls has an excellent 41% strike rate with his runners over fences at Haydock, he has Vicente trading 15.5.

Haydock 3-50: Evan Williams has saddled more than double his expected winners over hurdles at Haydock, Report To Base is 5.7.

Haydock 4-20: Tom George and AP Heskin have a nice 23% strike rate when teaming up together, they have Wuff at 5.4.

Wincanton 2-15: Neil Mulholland and Barry Geraghty have had more than double their expected winners when teaming up together, Bishops Court is 2.98.

Wincanton 2-45: Alan King and Daryl Jacob have an impressive 48% strike rate together, they team up with Sceau Royal currently 5.9.

Wincanton 4-30: Daryl Jacob has an excellent 29% strike rate with his rides over hurdles at Wincanton, his mount Madame Lafite is 13.0.

Wincanton 5-05: Paul Nicholls has an excellent 40% strike rate with his runners over hurdles around Wincanton, he saddles Dreamcatching at 3.05.

Lingfield 1-10: Hugo Palmer and Josephine Gordon have a nice 23% strike rate when teaming up together, First Moon is trading 5.6.

Lingfield 3-30: David Simcock and Martin Harley have a healthy 25% strike rate together, they team up with Doctor Sardonicus at 7.4.

Gowran Park 1-20: Davy Russell has an impressive 29% strike rate over fences at Gowran Park, he takes the ride on Mall Dini at 4.4.

Gowran Park 3-05: Jessica Harrington has a nice 20% strike rate over hurdles around Gowran Park, she saddles Jezki at 1.41.

Gowran Park 4-15: John Walsh has had four times his expected winners from his runners over hurdles at Gowran Park, Page Turner is 19.0.

Kempton 6-15: Jamie Osborne and Jamie Spencer have a healthy 24% strike rate together, they team up with Hungarian Rhapsody at 5.1.

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Ascot 3-00: Jonjo O’Neill is very close to only having one third of his expected winners over hurdles at Ascot, he saddles Doesyourdogbite at 10.5.

Ascot 3-35: Richard Johnson is not far away from only having half of his expected winners over fences at Ascot, his mount Royal Regatta is 10.5.

Haydock 2-05: Despite having a good record over fences here, Paul Nicholls has saddled less than half of his expected winners over hurdles, he has two here – Aux Ptits Soins at 3.05 and Zarkandar at 4.4.

Haydock 2-40: Alan Fleming and Denis O’Regan have teamed up together to have less than half of their expected winners, Chain Gang is 24.0.

Wincanton 1-40: Emma Lavelle is not far away from only having half of her expected winners over fences at Wincanton, she saddles Water Wagtail at 7.6.

Wincanton 3-55: Victor Dartnall has saddled less than half of his expected winners over fences at Wincanton, he has Ut Majeur Aulmes at 11.0.

Lingfield 2-20: Ian Williams and Robert Winston are quite close to only having half of their expected winners together, they team up with Dr Doro at 32.0.

Lingfield 4-05: Nicky Mackay has a way below expected strike rate of only 6% with his rides at Lingfield, his mount Mercers is 2.88.

Gowran Park 1-55: Gordon Elliott has had less than a third of his expected winners over fences at Gowran Park, he saddles Clarcam at 5.7.

Gowran Park 3-05: Bryan Cooper has a well below expected strike rate of only 9% with his rides over hurdles at Gowran Park, Tombstone is 4.4.

Kempton 5-45: Shaun Lycett is very close to only having one third of his expected winners around Kempton, he saddles Hallings Comet at 15.0.

Kempton 8-45: Tony Hamilton has rode less than a quarter of his expected winners around Kempton, he takes the ride on Samphire Coast at 5.4.

Kempton 9-15: Kieran Shoemark has had less than half of his expected winners from his rides at Kempton, his mount Tranquil Daze is 6.4.

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BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: AIR HORSE ONE 3-00 Ascot, at around 8.6.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: MARCERS 4-05 Lingfield, at around 2.88.


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