PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today for Grand National Day at Aintree.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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1-45 Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle: Tony Martin and Paul Townend have a 23% strike rate when they team up together, they’ve also had bang on double their expected wins, Mydor is 12.5.
2-25: Grade 1 Novice Hurdle: Willie Mullins and Bryan Cooper’s strike rate when they’ve teamed up is 38%, can Bello Conti (16.5) overturn the hot favourite Yorkhill (1.31)?
3-40 Grade 1 Stayers Hurdle: Colin Tizzard and Tom Scudamore have a 38% strike rate when they team up, winning over double their expected, Thistlecrack (1.3) should give them another win here.
5-15 The Grand National: Rebecca Curtis and Trevor Whelan have won 6 from the 10 times they’ve teamed up, Curtis is also in great form with double her expected winners in the last 14 days, The Romford Pele is 48.0.
Mouse Morris has had 3 winners from his last 5 runners, he saddles two in the Grand National – First Lieutenant at 80.0 and Rule The World at 54.0.
Barry Geraghty has a superb record here with a S/R of 30%, Shutthefrontdoor is 20.0.
6-10 Handicap Hurdle: Nicky Henderson has a 23% win rate over hurdles at Aintree with nearly 10 over his expected winners. His Nesterenko is 26.0 for the last on Grand National Day.
1-45 Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle: Peter Bowen has only had 2 winners from 45 runners over hurdles at Aintree, when his expected was over 7. He saddles Minella Daddy at 30.0.
4-20 Listed Handicap Chase: Harry Fry has gone 17 runners and 16 days without a winner, a small sample really however his expected winners during that time was well over 3. Thomas Brown is 8.4.
5-15 The Grand National: Evan Williams should have had nearly twice the amount of wins he actually had in the last 14 days, Buywise is 58.0.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR 5-15 Aintree, at around 20.0.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: THOMAS BROWN 4-20 Aintree to place, at around 3.0.
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