PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Sunday. Yesterday’s NAP KEW GARDENS WON 13/8 to complete a naps hat-trick after Thu: WAX AND WANE (NAP) WON 8/11 and Fri: LIMATO (NAP) WON 6/4.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Goodwood 2-00: Gary Moore has saddled very close to double his expected winners at Goodwood, Age Of Wisdom is 7.8.
Goodwood 2-35: David Elsworth and Silvestre De Sousa have a way over expected strike rate of 20% together, Lady Dancealot is 2.74.
Goodwood 4-55: Ian Williams has had close to double his expected winners at Goodwood, he saddles Boy In The Bar at 7.4.
Chepstow 1-40: Richard Johnson has a healthy long-term strike rate of 21% over hurdles at Chepstow, he rides Gumball at 1.85.
Chepstow 2-15: Colin Tizzard and Tom Scudamore have a healthy 23% strike rate together, they have Elegant Escape at 5.4.
Chepstow 4-35: Fergal O’Brien and Paddy Brennan have an excellent long-term strike rate of 20% together, Mystifiable is 11.0.
Naas 1-20: Colin Keane has an excellent 20% strike rate with his rides around Naas, his mount It’s All A Joke is 3.0.
Naas 4-45: Ger Lyons and Colin Keane have an excellent 21% long-term strike rate together, they have Mustajeer at 4.0.
Cork 2-40: Willie Mullins has an impressive 40% strike rate with his runners over hurdles at Cork, Minella Beau is 2.36.
Cork 3-15: WJ Austin and Kevin Sexton have teamed up for more than three times their expected winners, All The Chimneys is 9.8.
Goodwood 3-45: Simon Crisford is very close to only having half of his expected winners at Goodwood, he saddles We Know at 20.0.
Goodwood 4-20: Robert Havlin has rode less than half of his expected winners from his rides at Goodwood, Tartini is 5.2.
Chepstow 2-50: Will Kennedy is very close to only having half of his expected winners over hurdles at Chepstow, he rides Dear Sire at 13.0.
Chepstow 3-25: Jonjo O’Neill is quite close to only having one quarter of his expected winners over fences at Chepstow, he saddles It’s A Gimme at 17.5.
Chepstow 4-00: Neil Mulholland and Harry Reed have had less than half of their expected winners together, Rossetti is 30.0.
Naas 3-00: Ronan Whelan is not far away from only having half of his expected winners at Naas, he rides Quizical at 7.8.
Naas 3-35: Conor Hoban is very close to only having one third of his expected winners at Naas, his mount Petticoat is 17.0.
Cork 4-25: Michael Hourigan is quite close to only having half of his expected winners over fences at Cork, he saddles Moores Road is 16.0.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: LADY DANCEALOT 2-35 Goodwood, at around 2.74.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: No Bet. (Prices too big to lay today).
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