PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today at Chepstow, Ludlow, Wolverhampton and Thurles.
Positives:
Chepstow 2-40: David Pipe has a 24% strike rate over hurdles here, way above expected, his Closer To Home is 4.2.
Chepstow 5-00: Sean Bowen has a 31% strike rate over hurdles here, he rides Shaddaii at 5.6.
Ludlow 3-05 and 4-15: Tom George has a 30%+ strike rate over fences at Ludlow, he saddles Storming Strumpet (5.4) in the 3-05 and saddles Noche De Reyes (8.8) in the 4-15. Paddy Brennan rides both, and himself and George have a 42% strike rate at the course too!
Ludlow 4-50: JC Williams has won on 4 of her 8 rides over fences here, she rides the favourite Pearlysteps at 2.86. She also has a 37% S/R with the trainer, Henry Daly.
Ludlow 5-50: Evan Williams has won with 8 of his 24 runners in Bumpers at Ludlow, maybe Pray For A Rainbow can out-run odds of 24.0.
Wolverhampton 2-50: Conor Dore and Paul Mulrennan have a 28% strike rate, they team up again with Tatting at 2.74.
Wolverhampton 4-35: Simon Crisford has a 37% strike rate at Wolverhampton, he saddles the favourite, Kestrel Call at 3.6.
Wolverhampton 5-40: Ed Dunlop and Silvestre De Sousa have a 25% strike rate together, Flinty Fell is 5.0.
Thurles 2-20: Gordon Elliott has a 37% success rate over fences at Thurles, his Chatham House Rule is 1.42. When teaming up with Bryan Cooper here, they’ve won 4 from 7 over fences.
Thurles 5-45: Willie Mullins has won with 8 of his 25 runners in Thurles Bumpers, Kolumbus is 2.88.
Negatives:
Chepstow 5-30: Tim Vaughan is 0 from 22 over fences at Chepstows, he saddles the favourite, Royal Django at 3.45. He’s also only had 1 winner from 25 runners over the last 14 days.
Chepstow 2-05 and 3-15: Alan King is without a winner from his last 31 runners, he saddles two at Chepstow today, Miss Minx (8.4) and Brod Na Heireann (12.0).
Wolverhampton 4-00: Gay Kelleway and Adam Kirby have only teamed up for 1 winner in 20. Vroom is 12.0.
Wolverhampton 5-10: Brian Ellison only has a 5% strike rate here, he saddles two in the 5-10, Nietzsche at 6.6 and Whitecliff Park at 8.4.
Thurles 2-55: Eoin Doyle has gone 133 days and 29 runners without a winner. The Winkler is favourite for the 2-55, at 4.0.
PROFORM BETS:
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Storming Strumpet 3-05 Ludlow, at around 5.4.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Royal Django 5-30 Chepstow, at around 3.45.
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