PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Newmarket, Cheltenham, Ripon, Chelmsford and Limerick.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Newmarket 2-45: Mark Johnston and William Buick have a 42% strike rate when they team up at Newmarket with over double their expected wins, Camargue is 4.7.
Newmarket 4-30: John Gosden and Frankie Dettori have a 37% strike rate together at Newmarket, all eyes will be on Foundation, currently 1.67 for the Craven on BETDAQ.
Newmarket 5-40: William Muir has been in great form in the last 14 days with 6 of his 10 runners winning, he saddles Florencio at 9.8 in the last at Newmarket.
Cheltenham 1-50, 3-00 and 4-10: Nico de Boinville has an impressive 29% strike rate over hurdles at Cheltenham, with over double his expected winners. He rides three today, Chocca Wocca at 10.0, Treaty Girl at 14.5 and Ballyhenry at 16.5.
Ripon 3-45: Mark Johnston and Paul Mulrennan have a 23% strike rate when they team up together, Kings Pavilion is 6.6.
Chelmsford 8-10: John Best and Kieren Fox have a 25% strike rate together here, they team up with Mossgo at 10.5.
Chelmsford 8-40: Michael Blake and Richard Kingscote have a 34% win rate when they team up together, winning over double their expected, Able Dash is 4.7.
Limerick 5-10: Tony Martin has had over double his expected winners over fences at Limerick, maybe his Sarwistan can outrun odds of 14.5.
Newmarket 2-45: Oisin Murphy is only 1 from 65 rides at Newmarket, his expected was nearly 6, Quantum Field is 9.6. He’s also rode below his expected winners when teaming up with the trainer, David Brown.
Cheltenham 1-50, 3-00 and 4-10: While de Boinville has a good record going into today’s hurdle races at Cheltenham, David Bass doesn’t – he is 0 from 33 thus far. He rides Sainte Ladylime at 8.0, At First Light at 16.5 and Sugar Baron at 11.0.
Cheltenham 2-25: Aiden Coleman’s strike rate over fences at Cheltenham is just over 4%, and he should have had nearly double his winners, he rides Kalane at 5.8.
Cheltenham 3-35 and 4-45: Paddy Brennan should have had over double his winners over fences at Cheltenham and his S/R is under 5% – he rides Forgotten Gold at 5.9 and Lovely Job at 5.1.
Ripon 2-00: A relatively small sample, however Liam Jones is only 1 from 19 at Ripon when the expected was 3. He rides Four Dragons at 6.6.
Ripon 3-10: Michael Easterby has only managed 2 winners from 95 runners at Ripon, his expected was close to 7, he saddles Felix De Vega at 9.4.
Chelmsford 7-40: Tom Marquand is only 2 from 42 around Chelmsford when his expected was close to 5, he rides Bournemouth Belle at 5.2.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: ABLE DASH 8-40 Chelmsford, at around 4.7.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: FELIX DE VEGA 3-10 Ripon to place, at around 2.8.
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