PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives at Wetherby, Exeter and Southwell.
Positives:
Exeter 2-00 and 3-05: Richard Johnson has a 31% strike rate over hurdles at Exeter, he has two rides over hurdles today, Perfect Summer (3.1) and Quieto Sol (7.6).
Exeter 3-05: Tom Bellamy has a 30% strike rate over hurdles here, riding almost double his expected winners, he rides Thundering Home at 8.8.
Wetherby 2-45: Michael Easterby has saddles 6 winners from 40 runners, when his expected was only 2.5, he saddles Chasma at 9.4.
Wetherby 2-10 and 4-20: Jonjo O’Neill’s strike rate over hurdles here is 31%, he has a good chance in the 2-10, Ivy Gate at 2.6, and in the 4-20 he has Shes Late (12.0).
Southwell 4-30: Conor Dore and Paul Mulrennan have teamed up for almost double their expected winners thus far, they team up again with Jaarih at 7.8. They also have a 32% strike rate together at Southwell.
Southwell 4-00: Sean Levey has a 27% strike rate here, he rides the odds on favourite, Ticking Away at 1.9.
Negatives:
Exeter 4-40: Daryl Jacob’s strike rate over over fences at Exeter is only 9%, disappointing given he should have ride 4 more winner than he has. He rides Mrsrobin at 9.4.
Also in the 4-40, Bob Buckler is 0 from 24 over fences, he saddles the second favourite, Somerset Lias at 6.6.
Wetherby 2-45 and 4-20: Joe Colliver has only managed 3 wins from 94 rides over hurdles here, and while he may not get the good quality rides like others, his expected was over double that. He rides Lowcarr Motion (4.3) and Thankyou Very Much (13.0).
Southwell 3-30: Mark Tompkins has only had 1 winners from 40 runners at Southwell, a good bit below expected, Prayer Time is 6.4.
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