PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for Wednesday including the opening day at Chester. Another winning NAP and successful LAY yesterday!
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
Whether you are a BETDAQ backer or layer – you can combine the PROFORM generated stats below with the latest BETDAQ markets to help with your betting.
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Chester 2-10: Michael Appleby has had double his expected winners around Chester, he saddles Our Greta at 29.0 in the first.
Chester 2-40: AP O’Brien has won with 12 of his 22 runners at Chester thus far, his expected was under 8 during that time, Somehow is 1.74. Ryan Moore is also 8 from 14 when teaming up with O’Brien here.
Chester 3-10: Ian Williams and Franny Norton have a healthy 23% strike rate when teaming up together, Le Maitre Chat is 16.5.
Newton Abbot 2-00 and 4-10: Colin Tizzard and Tom Scudamore have a 38% strike rate together, they have West Approach at 3.05 in the 2-00 and Westend Prince, an outsider at 19.0, in the 4-10.
Newton Abbot 3-00 and 5-15: Victor Dartnall and David Prichard have had over double their expected winners when they have teamed up together, they have two today – Mother Meldrum is 8.0 and Sleeping City is 15.0.
Kelso 4-35: Dale Irving has a 47% strike rate from his rides over hurdles at Kelso, more than three times his expected, he takes the ride on Neville Woods at 11.5.
Kelso 6-05: Nicky Richards has a 33% strike rate with his runners in Kelso Bumpers, he saddles Glingerside, currently 6.4 on BETDAQ.
Wetherby 6-00: Charlie Longsdon has a 35% strike rate with his runners over fences here, he saddles second favourite Atlantic Gold at 4.6.
Chelmsford 5-45: David Simcock and Martin Harley have had over double their expected winners when teaming up together, they have Under Siege at 5.1.
Chelmsford 6-15, 7-45 and 8-15: Hughie Morrison has an impressive 44% strike rate with his runners at Chelmsford, he saddles three today – Pastoral Player at 18.5, Admirals Sunset at 4.5 and Nearly Caught at 3.1.
Chelmsford 7-15: Ed Dunlop and Pat Cosgrave have a 30% strike rate when they team up, Cafoo is an outsider here at 15.0.
Tramore 1-45: Gavin Patrick Cromwell and JB Kane have a very healthy 26% strike rate together, nearly double the expected, they start they’re day with Plain Talking at 5.0.
Tramore 5-00: Willie Mullins has won with 8 of his 14 runners in Tramore Bumpers, above his expected, he saddles Bakougan at 2.94.
Chester 3-45: David Nicholls only has a 5% strike rate with his runners at Chester thus far, he saddles Kimbrella at 6.2.
Chester 4-20: A relatively small sample Ian Williams and Kieren Fallon have only teamed up for 1 winner from 18, Sir Maximilian is 4.1. Fallon has also had less than half his expected winners here.
Newton Abbot 5-15: Martin Hill and Jeremiah McGrath are only 1 from 39 together when the expected was nearly 4, Absolutlyfantastic is 21.0.
Kelso 3-25 and 4-35: Craig Nichol has only managed 1 winner from 62 rides over hurdles at Kelso, disappointing given his expected was nearly 5, he rides Tickanrun at 7.2 and Carinena at 5.4.
Kelso 4-00: Michael Smith and Henry Brooke are only 1 from 34 together, they team up again with Dream Flyer, currently 15.0 on BETDAQ.
Wetherby 6-30: A small sample but Tom O’Brien is 0 from 12 over hurdles at Wetherby, his expected was 2 or more during that time, he rides Royal Milan at 5.5.
Chelmsford 6-15: William Twiston-Davies has less than a 3% strike rate from his rides at Chelmsford, he’s on Unforgiving Minute at 4.9.
Chelmsford 6-45: Karl Burke has only managed 1 winner from 25 runners here, his expected during that time was over 3, Lilly Vega is 8.4.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SOMEHOW 2-40 Chester, at around 1.74.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: KIMBRELLA 3-45 Chester to place, at around 2.42.
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