NO RACING IN IRELAND WITH TIPPERARY OFF: But Shamrock looks to the Irish challenge in the July Cup at Newmarket and finds a bet in the race.
In a topsy-turvy season we will see the July Cup at Newmarket this afternoon run on, wait for it, ground that is soft and heavy in places following substantial overnight rain.
The Irish challenge is three-fold. The David Marnane trained Dandy Boy was a surprise winner of the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot where he stayed on strongly to win at 33/1. He recorded a time quicker than Black Caviar did for the same trip later in the afternoon and I would be keen on his chances if it wasn’t for the ground. I don’t think he is as effective on this ground (it was good at Ascot). He won his maiden at Fairhyhouse on soft ground – so he handles it – but I just don’t think he is the same horse in the mud.
I prefer the chances of Fire Lily for David Wachman who gets all the allowances as a three-year-old filly. She relished this trip and soft ground when winning a Group 3 at Leopardstown last time and deserves a crack at this prize, particularly when it’s a far from vintage renewal and the ground will play such a major factor.
We are getting around 3.2 on the BETDAQ place market which looks the play in the race.
SHAMROCK’S BETS:
NAP (IN PLACE MARKET): Fire Lily (3.20 Newmarket)
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