NAP WINS BUT SHAMROCK IS ROCKED…. And still fuming about the late change of going at Kilbeggan from SOFT to GOOD TO YIELDING. The recent naps ‘form figures’ now reads: 110111202210111011010301011100111
I don’t think I’ve ever been so frustrated at napping a winner. As readers will know I had to switch to Wolverhampton for a NAP on Monday (which won at 1/5) on the basis that the horse I fancied at Kilbeggan I wasn’t certain could handle the forecast soft ground.
Here’s an action replay…..
I really like the profile of Mister Benedictine in the 6.30 at Kilbeggan. He’s shooting up in the weights but I think is still ahead of the handicapper judged by the style of his recent two successes. However, I can’t nap or even tip him because of the ground. He has no proven form on soft (although has won on good to soft) and his recent successes have come on good to firm ground. I would break one of my major rules if putting him up.
The problem was the ground was described as soft in the morning but it turned out to be Good to Yielding, Good in places – had I known that – and I hope it doesn’t sound like aftertiming and that it’s clear from the above, I would have napped Mr B who romped home at 3/1.
Courses must do better to keep us updated. The ground is the biggest single factor and the jump from soft to good to yielding is just too much in the space of a few hours. We really do need more frequent updates.
Right I’m off my soapbox but hope you agree.
I promised some better priced naps this week so how does 3.3 sound? Choisilady ran well at Limerick on Saturday and makes a quick reappearance in the 6.15 at Ballinrobe. She looks a spot of value against Golden Acorn who was third at Leopardstown.
SHAMROCK’S BETS:
NAP: Choisilady (6.15 Ballinrobe)
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