Dallas Cowboys (7-3, 6-4 ATS) @ New York Giants (3-7, 3-7 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Dallas -4 (47)
Significant Injuries
Dallas: CB Andrew Patmon (out– knee)
New York: DT Cullen Jenkins (out– calf), OT Justin Pugh (out– quadricep), LB Jacquain Williams (out– concussion)
Recent Trends
Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. NFC East opponents
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game
New York is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record
New York is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall
The OVER is 7-2 in Dallas’ last 9 road games
The OVER is 4-1 in New York’s last 5 games following a loss
The UNDER is 5-2 in New York’s last 7 home games
The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Dallas
1. The Cowboys have won 7 of their 10 games this season, they’re coming off a bye, and they’re facing the struggling Giants, a team they’ve owned lately, covering in 4 of the past 5 meetings between the two teams. Giants bettors will be hoping for something that hasn’t happened in a long time, as the G-Men have lost 5 consecutive games and have failed to cover each time.
2. Dallas ranks 2nd in rushing offense this season, producing 153.2 yards per game on the ground, and no team in the NFL has allowed more rushing yards than the Giants, who are surrendering a staggering 145 per game. This is a dream matchup for the Dallas offense.
3. The Giants have a porous defense that ranks 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) against the run, and 27th in points allowed (26.3 ppg). They have little chance of success against a Dallas offense that averages over 385 total yards and 26 points per game. Even if the Giants gang up on the run, which they probably will do, they will be torn to shreds by Tony Romo, who always seems to play well in New York.
Three reasons to back New York
1. The Giants simply aren’t as bad as their record would indicate, especially at home, where they’ve won twice and have only lost to playoff contenders (Arizona, Indianapolis, San Francisco). Dallas, on the other hand, has regressed since the beginning of the year, though a victory over lowly Jacksonville (followed by a bye week) has served as a bit of a mind-eraser for bettors who seem to have forgotten that the Cowboys lost their previous two games, including an ugly home defeat at the hands of Redskins team that was playing their 3rd-string quarterback.
2. The Cowboys have been vulnerable defensively this season, surrendering 20 points or more in 4 of their past 5 games. They’ve been dealing with injury issues in the secondary that have forced them to start reserve Sterling Moore at cornerback, and the Giants have a capable passing attack that features impressive young receivers Rueben Randle and Odell Beckham. Expect a big game from Eli Manning and the New York offense.
3. Tony Romo has a broken back. That’s not an exaggeration: he has two cracked vertebrae and look like an old man shuffling around in the pocket. The Giants are gonna be coming after him, there’s no doubt about that, and Romo isn’t the most reliable sort even when he’s healthy. Throwing money at a hobbled Romo is not advisable.
Prediction
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