Tennessee Titans (0-0, 0-0 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (0-0, 0-0 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Kansas City -3.5 (43)
Significant Injuries
Tennessee: DT Mike Martin (questionable– hamstring)
Kansas City: CB Marcus Cooper (questionable– ankle), RB De’Anthony Thomas (doubtful– hamstring), WR Dwayne Bowe (out– suspension)
Recent Trends
Tennessee is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games
Tennessee is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. AFC opponents
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games
The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
The UNDER is 6-1 in Tennessee’s last 7 Week 1 games
The UNDER is 22-8 in Kansas City’s last 30 home games
The OVER is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Tennessee
1. The Kansas City offense should be even more one-dimensional than usual in this game because of the absence of go-to receiver Dwayne Bowe, who is serving a league-imposed suspension. If the Tennessee defense can smother Jamaal Charles they’ll be able to control the game.
2. The Chiefs are vulnerable in the secondary and Tennessee quarterback Jake Locker is an ascending player who is (finally) fully healthy. Locker showed real signs of growth before being injured last season, and he has a golden opportunity to shine in this matchup.
3. The public has been all over Kansas City this week, with approximately 70% of the action at the four largest Vegas sports books coming in on the Chiefs. Sharp bettors know what that means: run for the hills (or in this case, the Titans).
Three reasons to back Kansas City
1. The Chiefs were better than the Titans on both sides of the ball last season, scoring more points, allowing fewer points, and winning more games. Neither team made significant changes to their rosters in the offseason.
2. All Pro running back Jamaal Charles should have a field day against the Tennessee defense, which ranked 20th against the run in 2013. Charles is one of the league’s best players and he’s proven difficult to stop even when opposing defenses are keying on him.
3. Tennessee quarterback Jake Locker has had an uneven NFL career, and that’s putting it kindly. The Titans lack a difference-making running back, so the offensive burden will fall on Locker. Can he be trusted against a talented Kansas City defense that finished 6th in the league in sacks last season? The answer is ‘no’.
Prediction
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