Money money money again last week for anyone naïve enough to listen to my waffling as I accurately predicted a Chelsea win half time and full time at BETDAQ odds of 4.5 as well as a point on Wigan to beat lowly Blackburn at 3.0 so all is good in the world – not forgetting a point on Rocket Ronnie Sullivan at 6.0 the week before, though to be fair there were a couple of losing bets as well. Fact is if I worked for a bookmaker they would have got rid of me by now for losing them too much money but being an exchange, they let me carry on and it is only the poor layers who want to see me strung up from the nearest tree!
I do freely confess the Cup Final had me on the edge of my seat and I was anything but confident of landing my bet as Liverpool fought back after the introduction of Andy Carroll, though my loudest scream came when there was a goal that never was – a did it or didn’t it cross the lie moment that would have sunk my main bet of the weekend – thank you eagle eyed linesman (right or wrong) for saving my bacon.
Luckily for me I hate betting if the odds are too short so I left Everton alone away to Wolves, which turned out to be a very wise decision after a 0-0 draw, and I spent the rest of my time on the horses from Newmarket. As you may have read I really fancied globetrotter Dunaden and lumped on at odds of 6.2 which I felt was great value. As is often the case I really ought to ignore the horses and read what DAQMAN writes instead but sometimes, I just can’t resist.
If I found a crumb of comfort after the French raider was beaten in to third it was that he did finish in front of the short priced favourite so I wasn’t the only one who got it all wrong, though it still dented the old holiday account. Not being one to do anything other than chase his losses (I know I shouldn’t but sometimes I want to), the 2000 guineas came up next and having decided that Camelot was too short in the betting, I looked for an each way alternative. French Fifteen had won well last time out in France and was the one who caught my eye, and although the jolly did win and is now short priced for the Derby, the place part of my bet was landed (BETDAQ odds of 14.4 to win, 4.6 to place) saw me in profit on the day, and looking eagerly forward to the 1000 Guineas on Saturday.
An evening reading everything I could find and looking through the form books made me think that Frankie Dettori had chosen the wrong Godolphin horse in the fillies classic so I had a sensible sized bet on Discourse who was freely available with BETDAQ at 14.0 the win and 4.2 the place, so I split my bet equally. I can report to those who don’t know that I had the finishing order correct for the boys in blue but sadly they finished last and second last, so zero for me to collect!
I rarely laugh out loud at a loser but I was up for the weekend and find humility is needed now and then but I am worried about the form or lack of it for both Saeed Bin Suroor (5 winners from 31 runners) and Mahmood Al Zarooni (4 winners from 43 winners), with just the five winners between them in the past fortnight as the season really moves in to gear. I am not one for laying to be fair (well, not often), but I will be watching their runners very carefully if they stay in this mediocre form, looking for opportunities.
Moving on to the next little money making scheme of mine, we have the last weekend of the football season proper though we have the Champions league final followed by the Euros to look forward to, so no need to start pining just yet. The last week of the season is not a time to get too involved with a lot of frankly pointless games that mean little, but if we can work out the matches where the players might actually care and we could have a bet worth a second glance. Crazy as it makes me, the 19.8 with BETDAQ for Queens Park Rangers to win at Manchester City is too large, even if the likelihood of success is minimal. The home team need to win to guarantee the title and probably will, but the away team have just as much to fight for with relegation still a possibility and a small bet is too tempting.
My other silly overpriced football bet will be on Fulham at 9.4 (BETDAQ price of course) to win at Tottenham, which is again massively overpriced. Both teams can turn it on and score for fun when thy want to, and I fully agree the home team should be hot favourites, but that price is frankly ludicrous and we don’t have to get many right at that sort of price to end up in profit.
Lastly, for the football at least, Bolton have been in desperate trouble for most of the season but can still stay up if they win away at Stoke – and not otherwise. I doubt there can be any greater incentive than that, and although Stoke would not be my choice of venue for a game of such magnitude, we can be sure they are up for it (or ought to be), making the 3.0 with BETDAQ the value of the week, and a sure fire bet for me.
Finally, we are looking for horses with flippers not hooves if recent weather forecasts are remotely accurate, so keeping an eye on Lingfield where they race on the polytrack could be the wisest move. One bet on one horse is all I can seriously offer, and I was taken with the way Fallen For You win a lesser event at Kempton with her head in her chest. She steps in to the bigger league again this afternoon (ran well in Group races last season), but the Group three over seven furlongs due off at 2.10 could well be within her grasp, and with stamina doubts about Best Terms and fitness questions for old favourite Chachamaidee, now could be her fifteen minutes of fame!
This week’s suggested bets (odds correct at the time of writing):
Football:
1pt Win QUEENS PARK RANGERS to win at Manchester City at BETDAQ odds of 19.8
1pt Win FULHAM to win at Tottenham at BETDAQ odds of 9.4
2pts Win BOLTON to win at Stoke at BETDAQ odds of 3.0
Horse Racing:
1pt Win FALLEN FOR YOU 2.10 Lingfield Saturday.
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