It really is a yo-yo of a hobby working out the bets to have on BETDAQ with winners and losers in roughly equal measures, though I am up for the year and by some margin, but please don’t tell the wife!
Last week was a prime example of the way things can go, starting with the golf where my selection David Hearn (advised at 72.0 on BETDAQ but I got some 80.0) never really looked like winning, but put in two decent rounds of 68 in the Canadian Open which were more than enough to see his price dip to a low of 35.0 where I got out for a guaranteed profit, regardless of how he played after that – see below for my next attempt at something similar.
The weekend saw me looking at the horses (I tried the football but there are some very strange results in the friendlies and players even the most avid fans may not have heard of), looking to build up my betting bank ahead of Glorious Goodwood, which is great fun, but never ever easy. Ascot on Saturday saw me putting y money where my (large) mouth is with Maureen for the in form Richard Hannon yard and she didn’t disappoint me with an easy two length plus success, though 2.0 on BETDAQ was a bit mean, so come on you layers, stick your heads above the parapet and I will happily take a shot?
After much internet searching, e mail reading, and general guesswork, I came to the conclusion that the other horse worth a biggish bet had to be Diala who was sent off the 3.4 favourite on BETDAQ to take the mile handicap – after all, she ran in the 1000 Guineas and was taking a sizeable drop in class here. I knew she was a good thing, punters knew she was a good thing, but sadly no one told the horse who yet again got in to trouble when she wanted a run, before finishing a well beaten (and expensive) fourth. That was that for me until Tuesday in deepest darkest Sussex where the layers certainly came out on top looking at my BETDAQ balance!
Every year I note that ii is close to financial suicide to focus on the main meetings and every year I go back for more (they should re name me BETDAQ Lemming), and this year is no exception – so far. In chronological order I managed to back Michelangelo (2.7 with BETDAQ), Foxtrot Romeo (9.5), Morawij (3.1), Huntsmans Close (4.8), and Colour Guard (15.5), all better priced with BETDAQ than SP – but not a winner between them – ouch! Wednesday and Thursday were a little better as I got more picky and managed four losers and three winners (Olympic Glory 3.9, Pearl Sea 2.6, and Wild Coco 7.4, all three better priced with BETDAQ), and I managed to turn a profit on the first three days, all be it a small one.
Looking forward and putting my money where my mouth is, two small bets will do for me at such a ridiculously competitive meeting and more for fun than any expected profit! On Friday afternoon I will be with Swan Song in the lucky last due off at 5.25pm. A front runner when last seen winning her maiden at Salisbury, if similar tactics are applied today she can at least stay out of trouble, and with the Andrew Balding yard well known for their horses improving for a run, she may be well handicapped here and is worth a small bet at odds of 8.8 at the time of writing.
On Saturday, it gets even better (which means even worse as a punter, with a 28 runner handicap kicking off the card), but I will be tempted in to a small each way bet on Solar Sky in the mile and three quarter handicap due off at 2.40pm. I am expecting odds around the 20.0 to win and 5.5 to place with BETDAQ for this son of Galileo who used to be held in some regard at Warren Place (or did I dream that?), though he has never really lived up to that reputation on the track. The fact that they keep him in training implies he has something left to offer and at a big price, a very small bet could yet bring a smile to my face.
Changing sports back to golf (it paid dividends last week so seems like a good idea), and this time we have the Bridgestone Invitational from Akron Ohio (if I mention them enough I may just get an invite). Tiger Woods is favourite followed by Luke Donald then Lee Westwood so we have a top class field, but I have been told the each way “steal” has to be Martin Laird at 66.0 to win on BETDAQ, and once again I will have a point on him but with the intention of laying it back for a built in profit if he makes the cut, so fingers and toes crossed please as I am no expert on the game.
Lastly, we have the little matter of the Olympics, and I have to admit that I am becoming drawn to pretty much every event, but then we can watch it on I pad phone and television (though my brain cant cope with all of them at the same time). The marathon is my event of choice this week and I have done a bit of digging around to see where the value lies – wonderful thing the internet, simply amazing what you can find with a bit of effort. Looking through the best marathon times ever then Wilson Kiptang Kiprotich (4.1 on BETDAQ) is the one BUT that time was run in October last year, a remark that also applies to Emmanuel Mutai (5.0), leading me to look twice at Ayele Abshero, the 3.3 favourite. His time was in 2012 and run in the heat of Dubai as well and if he handles the cooler conditions here as well as expected, then he looks the one to be on though as I am no expert, a point thrown away will do for me at this stage.
That will do for me for this week as I need to go looking for a few bets for the Premier league and other divisions (gives me an interest for at least half a season?), and at big prices I also get a lottery style dream for my cash which cant be bad – see you next week.
This week’s suggested bets (odds correct at the time of writing):
Olympics
1pt Win AYELE ABSHERO Olympics Marathon at BETDAQ odds of 3.4
Golf – Canadian Open
1pt Win MARTIN LAIRD at BETDAQ odds of 66.0 with the intention of laying back at a lower price if he makes the cut or shortens in the betting.
Horse Racing
1pt Win SWAN SONG 5.25pm Goodwood Friday at BETDAQ odds around the 8.8 mark (or better if you can!)
1/2pt Win Half Point Place SOLAR SKY 2.40pm Goodwood Saturday at BETDAQ odds of about 20.0
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
