THE EDGE: The Edge previews the 3rd Test between AUSTRALIA v INDIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
Australia v India 3rd Test
MATCH OVERVIEW:
Australia and India are back in action on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with the 3rd Test from Brisbane this weekend. We’ve had two excellent Tests so far and we’re locked at 1-1 in the series with everything to play for – India dominated the 1st Test while Australia thoroughly bounced back in the 2nd. So far the bowlers have been on top apart from the Indian second innings in the 1st Test, and this Test promises to be another very entertaining affair.
It’s hard not to see the bowlers being on top again here, and we have another very high draw price – currently trading 15.0 at the time of writing. This looks another straight shootout between the sides with the draw not in play, and once again it will come down to whoever bats better with both bowling line-ups very fast and in-form. Some big innings have been the difference – the Travis Head 140 in the 2nd Test obviously the highlight given conditions; the send off from Mohammed Siraj a little silly given the damage was done. India need another big innings from Virat Kohli in the middle order, but their openers have looked in good touch too.
Last time India played here, they managed to win in dramatic fashion – generally batting conditions are pretty decent at the Gabba if you get in. Things tend to happen quickly though, and wickets are never far away so we’re bound to have another “fast-forward” Test match!
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
As I said above, wickets are never far away at the Gabba but we don’t see scores exceptionally low here. When the sides played here in 2021, 294 was the lowest total from the four innings. The Gabba has been a result venue – the last eleven Tests have had a result. West Indies shocked Australia here earlier in the year when Australia failed to chase down a target of 216 in the last innings. South Africa were rolled over in 2022, and so were England in 2021. Runs will be there, but batters will need to get in and settled – someone needs to dig in like the old days – otherwise we could see some low scores here.
RECOMMENDED BET:
I don’t give the draw much chance here. It’s trading 15.0 but even a price that big doesn’t make appeal. I feel we’ll have another Test where things happen very quickly, and I expect a straight shootout between the two sides. Australia are the favourites at 1.64 with India 3.05. I was on the wrong side of an India bet in the 2nd Test, but I still feel that they are worth backing at 3.05. I feel this Test will come down to batting brilliance from somewhere – both sides have excellent bowling attacks and their batters have been in form too. I feel this Test is more even than the market expects, and the 3.05 is value on India.
The Edge Says:
One point win India to beat Australia at 3.05 with Betdaq Exchange
View the market here -> https://betdaq.biz/AusInd3
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
I would expect the bowlers to be on top again here, and you’ll have to pick your moments to support the batting side. I strongly feel the Test will be decided by an excellent innings somewhere – Travis Head provided this in the 2nd Test and Australia didn’t look back. It seems pretty basic to say this, but if you can pick the momentum trade in a situation like that that will obviously be worth a lot of ticks – runs will be there if batters can get in and get settled. I wouldn’t stay on either batting side for long though; this is a Test to look for trades mainly on either bowling side.
