BIG BASH: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Monday’s Big Bash game between between Sydney Thunder v Brisbane Heat with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Edge has been a professional cricket trader for over 12 years, and we are delighted to have his columns on BETDAQ Tips. He provides his best bets on a points scale between 1 and 5, with 5 being a rare max bet.
Because we see so much action in-running on cricket, he will also provide some in-running strategies that could develop in-play and lead to some excellent value bets. The Edge covers all forms of cricket: Test Matches, ODI’s and T20’s but his favourite competition is the Indian Premier League each season.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
After a hectic double header weekend on we settle down to Week 2 of the Big Bash on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with Sydney Thunder taking on Brisbane Heat at the Manuka Oval in Canberra. These two sides were both beaten by Melbourne Stars within two days as Brisbane Heat lost by six wickets and then Sydney Thunder lost by 22 runs. Sydney Thunder definitely played better however, with Brisbane Heat all out for 125.
I noted in that preview that the Heat looked very poor on paper this season, and I must say I didn’t see anything to change my mind. I’d be surprised if they didn’t finish the group stage in last position, and in my opinion the only way they win games is Chris Lynn going mental with the bat. Which let’s face it; can’t happen every game. Brisbane has a poor off-season losing two bowlers in Lalor and Pattinson. We saw Lalor take three wickets for the Renegades the weekend and while their bowling has always been weak it looks particularly weak now. With the loss of AB de Villiers the batting is also a worry, and it was the batting that lost the first game.
The Thunder have been a work in progress for a few years now and you have to say that they are improving a little. They have an excellent XI if they can keep everyone fit and playing. Khawaja, Hales, Ferguson and Ross look like a very strong four; but you have to also say that all four are very hit-and-miss. At least Hales and Ferguson looked good in the first game – they will need plenty of runs from them this season.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
We’ve had two games here before today with both sides involved. The first inning scores were 125 all out by Brisbane Heat and then the Melbourne Stars managed to score 169/8 in their game. Brisbane are pretty poor so I wouldn’t pay too much attention to that score and it looks like the team batting first should be aiming for between 165 and 170. That looks a very reasonable score to defend based on what we have seen here.
RECOMMENDED BET:
Thunder have their own issues but they make a lot of appeal here at 1.81. I really don’t fancy this Heat side this season and they were woeful in their first game. I feel we’ll see a game that has a lot of mistakes in it but I feel the Thunder bowling is far better than the Heat bowling and that can win the game. The same can be said about the batting too, with Heat looking very light apart from Chris Lynn. Thunder should win for me.
The Edge Says:
Two points win Sydney Thunder to beat Brisbane Heat at 1.81 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
View the market here -> https://bit.ly/BDQThuBri
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
There’s a lot of possible angles for trading in this one. The Brisbane batting looked very poor in their opening fixture, and although they could hardly get any worse I’d still be keen to be against them. I wouldn’t go heavy against Chris Lynn as he can take the market away from you so quickly but he might be low on confidence after a terrible CPL. He did score 20 from 20 in his opener, and he will strike at some point! The rest of the batting looks pretty weak on paper however, and once he’s out we can see a lot of collapses.
The Brisbane bowling looks exceptionally weak on paper too, and I would fully be against them when bowling. They have always had issues bowling, and they looked all over the place in the opener when Maxwell started putting them under pressure. The Thunder have some gun batters at the top of the order and they can take the game away. I’d be keen to support Alex Hales as he looked in good touch, as did Callum Ferguson. Ben Cutting can smash some big sixes too. We could easily see a low scoring thriller here if the Thunder batting doesn’t go well, and I’d be keen to lay Heat in the low odds chasing an under-par score. Thunder are improving, but they are serial winners so I’d expect a reasonably low quality game with plenty of swings.
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