1st TEST: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Thursday 1st Test between AUSTRALIA v INDIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
A fascinating Test series starts in the early hours on Thursday morning in the UK between Australia and India. We have had an incredible tour so far with Australia coming out of the traps quickly to land the ODI series and then India bouncing back with the last ODI win and then landing the T20 series in impressive fashion. What we have seen is that there isn’t a lot between the sides, and we should have an excellent Test series with plenty of twists and turns betting in-running on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
Both sides have their own selection worries coming into the series, and it’s fair to say that the XI we see in the 1st Test might be very different to the XI we see in the 4th Test! Australia have big issues with who will open. David Warner has been ruled out which is a huge blow for Australia, and even the uncapped Will Pucovski is out too. Joe Burns looks like he might start out of process of elimination but he’s been in terrible form and you can tell they don’t want to pick him. Marcus Harris might open but he hasn’t been in the side for over a year.
The Aussie news has been hinting that Labuschagne might open, but he’s been so good in the middle order; would you want to change that? India will surely see this as an excellent chance to start on a winning note. They need to given they will lose Virat Kohli throughout the tour as he’s due to go home for the birth of his child. Shubman Gill might make his Test debut to open and Agarwal might open with him. India have a very settled middle order, which might make all the difference here. We should have an excellent Test match and we’re highly likely to see a result.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
The Adelaide Oval will host the 1st Test and this is an excellent venue for Test cricket. We usually only see one Test per year here. The last Test came in November 2019 and Australia thrashed Pakistan by an innings. They score 589/3 in their first innings when David Warner scored 335 and Labuschagne scored 162. Warner won’t be here this week, so the runs will have to come from someone else. India won a low scoring Test here in 2018 by 31 runs. They scored 250 and 307, to Australia’s 235 and 291. With all the batting issues, maybe we’ll see a Test similar to that. The pitch is usually good for batting and then spin comes into it late on. The forecast looks good, and we shouldn’t have to worry about the draw unless the pitch is very flat.
RECOMMENDED BET:
I can’t see it being a draw with the forecast and issues with the batting orders so I’m happy to rule that out. The market agrees with the draw available at 7.4. Knowing cricket in-running markets; it will probably trade shorter in-running but I can’t see a draw to be honest. I’m happy to take a chance and go with India here at 2.9. Australia have major issues at the top of the order, and that might just set the tone for India to gain the confidence to eat into the Australian middle order. It’s likely they’ll come in under pressure too and that always helps. India have done very well on this tour, and should be full of confidence. I would have them shorter than 2.9, and Australia bigger than 1.84.
The Edge Says:
Two points win India to beat Australia at 2.9 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
View the market here -> https://bit.ly/BDQ1stAusInd
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
With only one Test per year here, I wouldn’t be rushing into a big position quickly. I would take the first few overs to see what the pitch is like. We have had low scoring games here, but also 500+ in the first innings and spin late on. I feel we’ll have a low scoring game given the batting, but we could easily have a very flat wicket. That needs to be checked before doing anything else.
Australia have a big issue at the top of the order, so I would be keen to get on India for an early wicket or two. As I said above, that might put too much pressure on the middle order and perhaps we could see an Australian collapse at some point. India have a very solid middle order themselves and I would be keen to support them – however all bets would be off if we start to see swing and movement given India don’t like those conditions. It’s hard to see the draw dropping too much given the starting point, but if the wicket is very flat then 7.0+ would offer a good trade, but it’s hard to see the game finishing with a draw.
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