AUSTRALIA v INDIA: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Thursday’s 4th Test between AUSTRALIA v INDIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
What a game to look forward to. After a brilliant tour we have reached the final game level. Australia won the ODI series 2-1, India won the T20 series 2-1 and now it’s 1-1 heading into the final Test – the purest form of the game. Everything is set up perfectly, there’s been more drama on and off the field. It’s fair to say a win for India would be massive, but they have a huge issue – it looks like Bumrah could be injured as he was “clutching his abdomen repeatedly at the SCG.” He would be a massive loss.
India were incredible in the 3rd Test on the final day to manage to get a draw, Australia traded down at 1.1 as it looked like they had the Test won. Bumrah out, as well as Jadeja who has already been ruled out and expected to fly home, will give India a very tough task here but it’s fair to say that there isn’t much between the teams based on what we’ve saw so far. Australia have their weaknesses, and there will certainly be bad blood between the sides now after Steven Smith was seen scratching out Rishabh Pant’s guard while “shadow batting.”
The scene is set for another great Test match as we move to The Gabba in Brisbane. I think a lot will hang on what XI India can name with injuries. Australia look pretty solid, they have had their issues batting but were well on top in that department in the 3rd Test. If India have a weakened bowling attack on what should be a good wicket, it could be Australia v The Draw.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
We have had some cricket in the Big Bash here recently, and although T20 doesn’t say much when compared to Test cricket, it’s fair to say the wicket wasn’t a belter. Batting was reasonably tough, and the scores have been coming down in the limited overs format here for the last two years. However, we have had some reasonable big totals in Tests. Australia have won their last seven Tests here, indeed you have to go all the way back to 1988 for the last time Australia lost here and that was against a West Indies side who had Viv Richards, Malcolm Marshall, Curtly Ambrose and Courtney Walsh. Their record here is incredible, there’s been 31 Tests since and they’ve won 24 of them. India have their work cut out, and if their bowling attack is weak it just seems certain that Australia will score big runs looking at the stats.
RECOMMENDED BET:
Obviously a lot depends on the team news here but even if Bumrah plays he’s unlikely to be fully fit after the SCG. I think everything is in Australia’s favour here. Conditions will suit, they have the better bowling for the conditions and their batting has gone well lately. Given their record here, the task for India seems massive and they can’t even name their best XI without Kohli. I’m happy to back the Aussies at 1.49 as I feel there’s too much going against India here. I feel India’s best chance is a draw. The market were very close to giving Australia the 3rd Test given how short they traded, and India simply can’t keep getting out of those positions. With weakened bowling, I’m not sure how they can bowl out Australia twice.
The Edge Says:
Three points win Australia to beat India at 1.49 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
View the market here -> http://bit.ly/BDQ4thAusInd
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
This tour has been incredible for trading with BETDAQ Betting Exchange. We’ve seen short odds lose, massive odds win and everything in between. Australia have such a superb record at this ground I would expect the market to always have them on side. I feel it would take a lot to not see Australia favourites. India are starting at a big price, so even if they do well bowling wise it’s likely the draw price will move out to get most of the slack.
I’d be very keen to support Australia’s batting if Bumrah missed the Test, I can see them trading very short again, as they did in the 3rd Test, and then it’ll be over to the bowlers to win the Test. I’d be happy to be against the mid-to-low order though if the conditions were good for bowling. Wade, Green and Paine are worth taking on – however they might arrive to the crease with 300+ runs on board. The Indian batting line-up looks in good touch, it’s more the bowling I’d want to be against with them. Australia do have a great record of bowling very well here and I feel that’s what will win the game.
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