THE EDGE: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Thursday’s India v Australia 4th Test with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
Seemingly out of nowhere, we have a series decider! India and Australia clash in the 4th Test on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on Thursday morning, and although Australia can’t win the series they can draw it which would still be a fantastic achievement in India. It looked like a 4-0 series win for India was pretty much certain after the way they won the 1st Test, especially with the Aussies complaining so much about the batting conditions. They collapsed for 177 and 91 after getting to bat first, and it was obvious after that India would roll out rank turners.
That plan clearly backfired in the 3rd Test however, batting conditions were extremely difficult in Indore and India could only manage 109 and 163. Australia comfortably won the Test quickly, and all of a sudden they have a chance at getting something out of the series. You have to say it would be an incredible achievement, especially given the way the batting conditions have worked out. However, let’s not get too carried away here. The 3rd Test was more of a case of the Indian batting failing rather than the Aussie’s working out how to play spin well. India collapsing first also completely changed the dynamic of the Test because the Indian bowlers were chasing wickets, making more mistakes and giving away runs.
Another fascinating Test match awaits us. It’s pretty clear that we’ll have another spin friendly wicket. It’s felt like winning the toss will be key right throughout the series – however the side who has batted first has lost all three Tests so far! You’d think batting first would offer the biggest edge. As it turns out, it has put the most pressure on! Will this Test be any different?
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
It was very interesting to see Indian coach Rahul Dravid out with the head groundsman at lunchtime in the Indore Test. He clearly wasn’t happy with the wicket, and to be honest it was almost unplayable. There’s spin friendly and then there’s that! It will be interesting to see does that change things in Ahmedabad. India will still want a spinning wicket, and I would be surprised to see anything bar a slow and low wicket again. There was a huge gap in Test cricket here because they were upgrading the stadium, but Test cricket returned in 2021 with two Tests against England. It turned a lot, and scores were low – India won both Tests easily. England were all out for 112 and 81 in one Test, and then 205 and 135 in the other won. I’d expect low scores again.
RECOMMENDED BET:
It’s fair to say that the market is almost writing off the draw here. We’ve had spin friendly wickets the whole series, and then we saw a lot of spin in the England Test’s here too which is the only recent Test history to go off. It would be a big surprise to see a draw, and it’s not a surprise to see it trading 10.0+ which is a massive price for a draw really given it’s a popular trading selection. The way this series has gone though you wouldn’t say on either batting side for long! India at 1.52 makes a lot of appeal here – I know their batting failed in the 3rd Test, but that doesn’t happen often. The Australian batting line-up struggles to play spin and that should continue here. It’s not like they have improved dramatically overnight, and once the Indian batting doesn’t flop again they should have total control.
The Edge Says:
Three points win India to beat Australia at 1.52 with Betdaq Exchange
View the market here -> https://betdaq.biz/IndAus4
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
As I said above, the market is basically writing off the draw here at 10.0+ and I don’t see any value in a draw trade either. We are expecting tough batting conditions, and neither side has fired with the bat either – to be fair how could they given conditions! I feel this will quickly become a straight shootout between the India and Australia win, and I would stay away from the draw. It was very interesting to see the side who batted first lose all three Tests given you’d expect batting first to offer the best conditions. In truth, it has put the pressure on because batting has been so tricky. The best way to trade this Test will be to focus on looking for trades all either side when they are bowling – and if we have a low score from the first innings I wouldn’t just assume it will be a train – I wouldn’t be surprised to see scores like the 3rd Test between England and India here. England were bowled out for 112 but then India were bowled out for 145!
