THE EDGE: The Edge previews the 4th ODI between ENGLAND v AUSTRALIA with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
England v Australia 4th ODI
Match Start Delayed
MATCH OVERVIEW:
England and Australia move onto the 4th ODI on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with England getting themselves back into the series on Tuesday. Now the sides move to Lord’s with Australia 2-1 up and still only one win away from winning the series. As expected in the 3rd ODI, the rain came in the second innings and England won on Duckworth Lewis but they were in an exceptionally strong position with Harry Brook 110 not out. It will be fascinating to see do the ECB play Jorfa Archer here or not – it’s been well documented that they are going to manage his workload and it seems at the moment he’s been rested every second game for England.
If that pattern continues, Archer won’t feature here and that’s going to leave a huge hole in the England bowling again. Australia had a very slow start in the 3rd ODI; it was very difficult batting conditions early and they did extremely well to get past 300. They were long odds on favourites at the innings break, but England pulled a rabbit out of the hat again with a middle order knock. It was Liam Livingstone in the 2nd T20, this time is was Harry Brook. It is a negative that England haven’t been recording these type of knocks more often – especially in ODI cricket where they have really suffered lately with a terrible run of results. They badly needed Will Jacks and Harry Brook after the two openers were gone in the first three overs!
England need more from their openers here, and they will be hoping Will Jacks, Harry Brook and Liam Livingstone can produce something special. From an Aussie point of view, they won’t change much – overall they have looked the better side, and they did exceptionally well to score 300+ from where they started on Tuesday. They didn’t do too much wrong, and I don’t think they need to change much here.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
Is there anywhere better than Lord’s for an England v Australia clash? We’ve backed Australia three times in the three ODI’s but given the 3rd ODI was a small bet (one point) it wasn’t a bad thing that the series is still alive coming here. It’s been a showery week in London and Friday looks no different – on the long range forecast it looks like the showers will mainly be in the second innings again. I don’t think we’ll lose the game, but it’s likely we’ll have a Duckworth Lewis situation at some stage so it’s wise to spend the day checking the radar. We had an ODI here mid-September last year; England posted 311/9 and bowled New Zealand out for 211.
RECOMMENDED BET:
England were fantastic with the bat in the 3rd ODI once Jacks and Brook got going, especially with Livingstone finishing it off before the rain came. I have to say though Australia really impressed me with the bat again managing to get 300+ from where they ended up after the first ten overs. I know England have a lot of talent to produce a match winning knock, but Australia just look the better side to me from everything we’ve seen and their batting line-up looks in cracking form. The 1.72 offers some very good value in my opinion, especially with Archer possibly rested if the ECB follow what they have been doing with him.
The Edge Says:
Three points win Australia to beat England at 1.72 with Betdaq Exchange
View the market here -> https://betdaq.biz/EnlAus4
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
A big market mover is going to be whether or not Jorfa Archer plays; fastest fingers first there because Australia will surely come in if he doesn’t play. As I said above, England seem to be resting him every second game so if they stay with that, he’s rested here and plays the 5th ODI. Usually at Lord’s, you want to look up and not down when it comes to batting – if it’s cloudy we could see some big movement. Given there are likely showers that are hit-or-miss, I would favour the side who bowls first. I’d be keen to be against the England openers in either innings however.