THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League match between ASTON VILLA v LEEDS with extended stats and a recommended bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
ASTON VILLA V LEEDS
8pm Premier League Friday Night Football is back! We have an absolute cracker to start Matchday six as the high flying Aston Villa take on Leeds. I’m sure many football punters would have fancied the impressive Leeds to finish above Aston Villa this season, and while that might still happen, Aston Villa look like a completely different side this year! They have been in the news that they are “the new Leicester” after their start, and while it’s highly unlikely that they will even finish in the Top Four; their fans can certainly dream after the start they have had.
Villa have been a new side since returning from lockdown. They looked to be heading to the Championship prior to March, but they corrected their issues at the back after lockdown and they have been a different team since. With the added confidence of staying up on the final day, they have now started scoring too. They have built their success on being solid at the back, but they are now attacking with confidence. Tonight should be a very interesting game.
Leeds have started life in the Premier League very well. They’ll be very pleased to kick off tonight in tenth position, and while it’s very early days; it looks like they will finish the season in or around the same position. Everyone said they shocked Manchester City with 1-1 draw, but looking at xG they were actually unlucky to draw. They won on xG 2.71 to 1.45, not many teams do that to City. They’ve been involved in some crazy games, with a 4-3 loss over Liverpool and 4-3 win over Fulham. We’ve seen some in-running carnage on BETDAQ Betting Exchange in Leeds game already!
While Villa have been impressive, they were fully entitled to beat Sheffield United and Fulham. Of course winning against Liverpool and Leicester is the impressive bit – not many fans will forget the 7-2 win over Liverpool in a hurry! Both sides are playing some good football, and while over 2.5 goals is very tempting at 1.8 given the chances both have been creating, I like the draw here at 3.65. I think this will be a very close game, and the draw is worth a small investment at the odds.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.65 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQavllee
MATCH STATS
- This is the first Premier League encounter between Aston Villa and Leeds United since February 2004, when Villa won 2-0 with goals from Juan Pablo Angel and Ronny Johnsen.
- Leeds United’s last league visit to Villa Park saw the Whites come from two goals down to win 3-2 in December 2018, with Kemar Roofe scoring the winner in the 90th minute.
- Aston Villa are looking to win each of their opening five league games in a season for the first time in their history. Indeed, the Villans are looking to win five consecutive Premier League games for the first time since April 1998 under John Gregory.
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games (W6 D2), the longest current run of all sides in the competition. They’ve earned 20 points in these eight games, more than they had in their previous 26 matches in the competition (19).
- If Aston Villa avoid defeat in this match, they will finish a day top of the Premier League table for the first time since August 2011, and for the first time at least five games into a campaign since November 2001.
- Leeds are looking to pick up back-to-back Premier League away wins for the first time since December 2002, following their 1-0 win at Sheffield United last time out.
- Aston Villa are top for direct attacks per game in the Premier League this season (2.8), while Leeds have had the most direct attacks against per game so far this term (4). A direct attack is one that starts just inside a team’s own half, has at least 50% of movement towards the opposition goal and ends with a shot or touch in the opponent’s box. Aston Villa ranked 16th for this last season (1.4 per game).
- Leeds United’s Pablo Hernández has been directly involved in six goals in seven league starts against Aston Villa (1 goal, 5 assists), including two assists at Villa Park in Leeds’ 3-2 win in December 2018.
- Ross Barkley has scored in both of his Premier League appearances for Aston Villa so far – the last player to score in each of his first three top-flight games for the club was Dion Dublin in November 1998.
- Leeds striker Patrick Bamford is looking to score in the club’s first three away league matches of a season for a second consecutive year, having done so in the Championship. Prior to that, only two players had managed it – Gordon Hodgson in the top-flight in 1937- 38 and Tresor Kandol in League One in 2007-08.
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