THE STRIKER: looks at Friday’s action from Goodison with EVERTON hosting SPURS – match preview with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
EVERTON V TOTTENHAM
8pm We have a cracker for Friday Night Football in the Premier League this week! Everton host Spurs in a massive game in the fight for the European places. After some poor results in recent weeks, these two find themselves in 7th and 8th with Spurs six points off West Ham in 4th. Everton might have a game in hand, but the result can write off the Top Four in my opinion. It must have been a frustrating time for the fans of both clubs, as they have had multiple chances to get on top with Chelsea and Liverpool dropping points but they haven’t taken advantage.
Not only do we have a fascinating match, but we have a fascinating market on BETDAQ Betting Exchange too. Spurs are currently the 2.3 favourites, and that looks pretty short to me. There shouldn’t be much in this tie. When you look at the recent results of both sides and then you look at the table, you can’t help but notice the draws with Crystal Palace and Newcastle. At least Everton dominated the Palace game, they just couldn’t convert their chances. Spurs conceded an xG of 3.86 to Newcastle!
Everton have had a poor run of results lately and are without a win in their last five in all competitions, but they have been playing better football than the bare results suggest. They have had to play Chelsea and Man City, and they should have beaten Burnley and Crystal Palace. They recorded xG figures of 1.8 against Burnley and then 2.83 against Palace.
I feel we’ll have a pretty close game here, and I can’t get away from the Spurs lay at 2.3. Spurs simply aren’t playing well enough to justify those odds. They have been giving away a host of chances recently, and while I accept Everton haven’t been taking their chances – they are creating them. If both sides stay in the same form then I can’t see Spurs winning, and I have to lay the 2.3. From a value point of view the odds are wrong in my view.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Tottenham to beat Everton at 2.3 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevrtot
MATCH STATS
- Everton’s 1-0 win over Spurs in the reverse fixture ended a run of 15 league games without a win against them (D7 L8). They’ve not done the league double over Spurs since the 1985-86 campaign.
- Tottenham are unbeaten in their last seven away league games against Everton (W3 D4), since losing three in a row at Goodison Park between January 2011 and December 2012.
- The last four meetings between Everton and Tottenham at Goodison Park in all competitions have produced 22 goals (8 for Everton, 14 for Spurs), with the Toffees winning 5-4 in an FA Cup game earlier this season.
- Everton have won just one of their last eight Premier League home games (D2 L5), with the Toffees failing to score more than once in any of these eight games (5 goals in total).
- Everton have failed to win any of their last four Premier League matches (D2 L2), last going five in a row without winning in the competition back in December 2018 under Marco Silva – indeed, the fifth game in that run came against Spurs, losing 2-6 at Goodison Park.
- Tottenham have dropped 18 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, with only Brighton (20) losing more. Indeed, Spurs have let the lead slip in three of their last four Premier League matches (D1 L2).
- 42% (11/26) of Tottenham’s away league goals this season came in their first two such matches (5-2 v Southampton, 6-1 v Man Utd), with Spurs netting 15 times in their 14 games on the road since.
- Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored 10 goals in his last 11 games against Everton in all competitions, including six goals in six appearances at Goodison Park.
- Everton could become just the third side to complete a league double against a side managed by José Mourinho, with all of these coming in the Portuguese’s two seasons in north London with Spurs (vs Chelsea in 2019-20 and Liverpool this season).
- Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has scored 14 Premier League goals in 30 appearances this season, his joint-best tally in a single campaign in the competition alongside 2016-17 (14 goals in 34 apps). Eight of his 14 goals have come away from home this term, twice as many as he netted on the road in 2019-20 (4).
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