THE STRIKER: previews the FA Cup third round games on Friday between ASTON VILLA v LIVERPOOL and WOLVES v CRYSTAL PALACE with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
ASTON VILLA V LIVERPOOL
7.45pm The FA Cup Third Round gets underway on Friday night and we have an excellent weekend ahead with a tonne of markets to get stuck into on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We start with Aston Villa hosting Liverpool in a very interesting clash from a betting point of view. This fixture was thrown up in the air on Thursday when Aston Villa announced they have an outbreak of Covid19 and their training ground was shut. The Liverpool price went from 2.2 to 1.5! Then after the FA conformed the game was going ahead, Liverpool came into 1.15! I’m sure we’ll see a lot of movement again around the teams news and that’s definitely a trading angle for this game. Jurgen Klopp will probably welcome the change in competition given Liverpool’s recent run in the Premier League; however it’s highly likely we see him rest a lot of his stars as he hasn’t paid much respect to the FA Cup with his team selection in recent years.
Aston Villa have been in great form this season, and rightly sit right in the mix for European football next season. They might be sitting in 8th after losing to Man United, but they are only three points off fourth and have a game in hand too. They have been creating a huge amount of chances this season, and this would have been a huge test for Liverpool before the Covid news. Klopp is likely to rest players given the busy schedule this season; however he has the luxury of no midweek game while a lot of Premier League teams too. Given everything going on and the fact Liverpool have come into 1.15, I feel the best option is to sit this one out from a betting point of view, but it’s a fascinating market nonetheless. We could easily see another big move before kick-off.
The Striker says: No Bet.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQAvlLiv
MATCH STATS
- Aston Villa have lost six of their last seven FA Cup games against Liverpool, though they did win the last such meeting between the sides in the 2015 semi-final at Wembley (2-1).
- On each of the last three occasions Liverpool have eliminated Aston Villa from the FA Cup they’ve gone on to reach the final (1987-88, 1991-92 and 1995-96).
- Since beating Liverpool in the 2014-15 semi-final, Aston Villa have lost their last three FA Cup games against Premier League sides by an aggregate score of 0-10.
- Liverpool have been eliminated from four of their last six FA Cup ties against fellow Premier League sides, with the two exceptions in that run both coming in third round matches against Everton (2-1 in 2017-18, 1-0 in 2019-20).
WOLVES V CRYSTAL PALACE
7.45pm We have another all Premier League clash on Friday night as Wolves host Crystal Palace. We should have a close game here as both sides have an identical record after 17 games in the Premier League. Crystal Palace have actually scored four more goals than Wolves this season, although they have also conceded more, it’s a reflection of how poor Wolves have been this season. They haven’t grinded out wins like they would in the past, and they have simply conceded too many goals. The 2-1 loss to Burnley recently was very disappointing, but it’s a reflection of their performances this season.
It’s difficult to know what to expect from the starting XI’s here. You would think mid-table sides would make a big effort for a Cup run but as we know, that just isn’t the case these days. Both sides also have a game midweek, with Wolves having to play on Tuesday and Crystal Palace on Thursday. I look at this game and just feel the 2.16 is too short on Wolves for multiple reasons – they aren’t playing good football this season, they haven’t been scoring a lot, they might rest players and I fully expect a close game. It’s not a game for large stakes but from a value point of view I have to be against Wolves at the odds.
The Striker says:
One point lay (liability) Wolves to beat Crystal Palace at 2.16 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWlvCry
MATCH STATS
- Wolves and Crystal Palace haven’t met in the FA Cup since February 2010, when Danny Butterfield scored a six-minute hat-trick for Palace in a 3-1 win at Selhurst Park.
- Three of the five previous FA Cup ties between Wolves and Crystal Palace have gone to replays – all the replays have been won by Palace, whereas the ties without a replay have all been won by Wolves.
- Wolves have been eliminated in six of their last eight FA Cup third round ties, going out at this stage last season against Manchester United.
- Crystal Palace were eliminated in the FA Cup third round last season, last going out at this stage in consecutive seasons as a top-flight club between 1990/91 and 1992/93.
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