THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League game between NEWCASTLE v ASTON VILLA at 8pm with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
NEWCASTLE V ASTON VILLA
8pm We have Friday Night Football in the Premier League this week as Newcastle host Aston Villa! We have a cracking weekend ahead in the Premier League with all football bets 0% Commission tomorrow ahead of a huge week with 0% Commission for the Cheltenham Festival! Newcastle come into this game under massive pressure now Fulham managed to beat Liverpool last weekend. Fulham have had good momentum recently but that win was certainly unexpected despite Liverpool’s poor form. This means now Newcastle start this fixture just one point ahead of Fulham, and although Brighton have the same amount of points as Fulham – they have been playing excellent football. That being said, Brighton playing excellent football and losing is becoming a meme at this point.
Newcastle were pretty poor away to West Brom last weekend, I landed a West Brom lay because I thought they were very short however that was a lucky bet to land as Newcastle were poor. xG finished 1.87 to 0.70 to West Brom. That’s a worry because West Brom have been very poor this season. Villa have had a very up and down season with no real winning or losing runs. They played great football against Sheffield United and were desperately unlucky to lose 1-0, and then they were lucky to draw 0-0 with Wolves after conceding an xG of 2.0.
Of course over the longer-term Aston Villa have been much better than Newcastle and they appeal at 2.08 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange here. I take on board that Villa have been inconsistent of late but on balance I feel they should be odds on here against a poor Newcastle side. This is actually a massive game for Newcastle given the recent run of Fulham. If they were to win it would be an excellent time because Fulham have to play Man City at the weekend, but I just can’t see Newcastle playing well enough to beat this Villa side. Villa have been excellent going forward this season and given the amount of chances Newcastle usually give up; Villa should get the job done.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Aston Villa to beat Newcastle at 2.08 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnewast
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games against Aston Villa (W6 D5) since a 0-3 loss in April 2005 that saw the Magpies have three players sent off.
- Aston Villa are looking to complete their first league double over Newcastle since the 2004-05 campaign.
- This is Newcastle’s 14th Premier League game to be played on a Friday (W4 D2 L7), but only the second at St James’ Park, following a 6-2 victory against Everton in March 2002.
- Aston Villa have lost four of their last five Premier League games played on Friday (W1), including both such fixtures this season (0-3 vs Leeds, 1-2 vs Man Utd).
- Newcastle have kept just one clean sheet at home in the Premier League this season, fewer than any other side. Indeed, the Magpies have kept just one clean sheet in their last 17 league games at St James’ Park, with that coming against Liverpool in December.
- Only Manchester City have kept more Premier League clean sheets than Aston Villa this season (14). Eight of those shutouts for the Villans have been away from home, more than any other side.
- In their first 13 Premier League games this season, Aston Villa netted 27 goals (2.1 per game), scoring at least three goals in six of those games. In their last 13 in the competition, the Villans have netted just 11 times (0.8 per game) and never more than twice in a match.
- In all competitions, Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has lost six of his last 11 matches against sides he’s formerly managed (W4 D1), as many as he had in his previous 39 such games. He’s never beaten Aston Villa since leaving the club in 2018 (D1 L3).
- Ollie Watkins and Bertrand Traoré scored for Aston Villa in their 2-0 win against Newcastle in the reverse fixture. The last Aston Villa players to score home and away against the Magpies in the same season were Gareth Barry and Juan Pablo Ángel in 2004-05.
- Since returning to the Premier League last season, Aston Villa have won just 17% of their league games when Jack Grealish has been absent (1/6), compared to 35% when he plays (20/58). The Villans average just 0.7 goals-per-game without him (1.3 with) and 10.5 shots-per-game when he doesn’t play (13 with).
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