🆕 THE STRIKER: Got off to a flying start with his selections on the Premier League. Two matches on Friday – NORWICH v SOUTHAMPTON at 6pm and TOTTENHAM v MANCHESTER UNITED at 8.15pm. Don’t miss his preview with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
NORWICH V SOUTHAMPTON
6pm We’ve seen Friday Night Football, but it’s time to introduce Friday Evening Football! It was superb to start with two winners from two bets for BETDAQ Tips on Wednesday. We have two games to enjoy today and we start with Norwich hosting Southampton. If truth were told, Norwich would have loved a void season if there was no relegation. They are cut adrift at the bottom of the table and bar an amazing finish they will go down. Southampton are currently in the bottom half of the table but that doesn’t tell the story of their season; they have performed better than that.
xG puts Southampton into 7th position and additionally to that, the away table this season has them in 6th. The problem for Southampton has come at home, they sit bottom of the league on home points. Norwich sit second last on home form, and are bottom of the table going forward. That’s a massive problem when you concede an xG of over 2 at home. Everything points to a Southampton win here and the only reason the stakes are only three points is because we are returning from lockdown. Southampton are an excellent side away from home and they should beat this Norwich side.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Southampton to beat Norwich at 2.3 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQnorsha
MATCH STATS
- Norwich have lost just one of their seven home Premier League games against Southampton (W4 D2 L1), a 5-4 defeat in April 1994.
- Southampton are looking to complete a top-flight league double over Norwich for the first time, with this the 22nd season they’ve met in England’s top division.
- The last five Premier League meetings between Norwich and Southampton have been won by the home side, a run stretching back to August 2013.
- Norwich have won two of their last three Premier League home games (L1), as many as they had in their first 11 at Carrow Road this season. However, the Canaries are looking to secure back-to-back home wins in the same season in the competition for the first time since January 2016 – the second game of which was against Southampton.
- Following a five-game unbeaten run in the Premier League, Southampton have lost five of their last seven in the competition (W2). Away from home, Southampton have lost their last two Premier League games, last losing more consecutively in December 2018 (4).
- Southampton have won each of their last six Premier League games against promoted sides, as many as they had in their previous 23 such games in the competition (W6 D7 L10). It’s Saints’ longest ever winning run against such sides in the competition.
- Norwich have the lowest shot conversion rate of any side in the Premier League this season, with the Canaries converting just 25 of their 335 efforts so far (7.5%).
- Only the current top four clubs have won more away Premier League games than Southampton this season (6). Indeed, only in 2013-14, 2014-15 and 2015-16 (7) have Southampton won more away games in a Premier League campaign.
- Norwich’s Emiliano Buendía has provided seven assists in the Premier League this season, the most of any player yet to score themselves in the competition so far this term.
- Southampton forward Danny Ings has scored just one goal in his last seven Premier League games, failing to find the net in each of his last three. He had scored 10 goals in 11 Premier League games prior to this run.
TOTTENHAM V MANCHESTER UNITED
8.15pm What a cracking fixture for a Friday Night! Jose Mourinho will be keen to get one over on his old club while United are still pushing for a Top Four spot. Spurs are actually one of the worst performing sides in the Premier League on xG. They move from 8th down to 15th on xG. United move down too, but at least United are underperforming on their xG away from home. They have only scored 15 goals in 14 away games, however they have created an xG of over 21. Looking at the bare numbers, you can certainly argue that Jose Mourinho hasn’t improved Spurs at all. An interesting fixture awaits!
Lockdown came at a very bad time for United – ok it came at a bad time for us all – but particularly United who had found form and won five of their last six. They could have really pushed for a Top Four finish. They can still do that; but need to win games like this with Spurs performing so poorly. Both sides have an xG of close to 3 (Spurs home games and United away games) but I can see a very cagey affair here. Unders is priced fairly, but I see good value in the draw price at 3.55 and that is worth backing. I expect United to be on top, but again fail to fire in front of goal.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.55 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQtotmnu
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham Hotspur have lost their last two Premier League games against Manchester United, last losing three in a row back in October 2010 (four in a row).
- Manchester United are looking to record consecutive away Premier League wins against Spurs for the first time since a run of six in a row between September 2001 and February 2007.
- This will be Manchester United’s first ever Premier League visit to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The Red Devils have so far won at every London ground in which they’ve played in the Premier League, one of just four clubs to have done so (along with Chelsea, Liverpool and Tottenham).
- Tottenham have never won a competitive match in June, drawing 1-1 with Barnsley in the second tier in 1947, losing 0-2 against Luzern in the 1995 Intertoto Cup, and losing last season’s Champions League final against Liverpool.
- Manchester United’s only previous competitive matches in June came in the 1965 Fairs Cup semi-final, with the Red Devils losing both legs against Ferencváros.
- Tottenham lost their last home league game, 2-3 against Wolves. The last time they lost back-to-back home league games was in January 2019, with those defeats coming against Wolves and Manchester United.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in five Premier League games, winning three and drawing two. The Red Devils have kept four clean sheets in that run, as many as they had in their previous 35 Premier League games.
- No side has kept fewer clean sheets in the Premier League than Tottenham this season (4). The last time they’d kept as few clean sheets after 29 Premier League games was in 2006-07 (also 4), when they also conceded in their 30th game that term.
- Tottenham are averaging just 12.1 shots per game in the Premier League this season, their lowest on record across a single campaign in the competition (since 1997-98). However, their shot conversion rate is 13.4%, their highest on record in a single campaign (also since 1997-98).
- As Tottenham manager, José Mourinho has lost all three of his league games against sides he’s formerly managed (1 v Man Utd, 2 v Chelsea). In his previous 16 league games against his former clubs in Portugal and England, he only lost twice (W9 D5).
- Since his Premier League debut, Bruno Fernandes has been involved in more goals in the competition than any other Manchester United player (2 goals, 3 assists), while he’s also created the most chances (11) and had the most shots (19) of any player at the club.
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