THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League game between SOUTHAMPTON v LEICESTER with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.

The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.

SOUTHAMPTON V LEICESTER

8pm After a fantastic week with the Champions League and Europa League Semi-Finals, the Premier League returns on Friday Night! Southampton host Leicester with this being an excellent chance for Leicester to really turn the screw in the race for the Top Four. They have had a slight advantage of playing on Monday night after seeing West Ham and Liverpool drop points at the weekend and now they get to go further clear and sit back to enjoy the weekend.

At the moment, it looks like Chelsea will get the final spot, but Leicester will be looking over their shoulder with Liverpool chasing and they will also remember falling out of the Top Four at the final moment last season. Liverpool have to play Manchester United on Sunday, so Leicester can go very short for the Top Four if they win here and the chasing pack drop more points. We landed our Leicester bet on Monday night on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, and we can land another Leicester bet tonight – they look excellent value at 2.16.

I wouldn’t say that Southampton have been playing particularly bad football lately, but they are on a losing run. They have only managed to beat the likes of Bournemouth and Burnley recently, and they have been conceding a lot of chances. For example they gave away an xG of 3.07 to West Brom which is very disappointing and Leicester managed to beat 1-0 in the FA Cup Semi-Final recently too.

Leicester made hard work of beating Crystal Palace on Monday night, but they still created enough to deserve to win the game. They have been pretty impressive lately – they didn’t deserve to lose against West Ham and you can forgive anyone losing to Man City at the moment. I think everything points to a Leicester win tonight – they are confident and they are creating some good figures. While Southampton are on a poor run and they are conceding a lot of chances. It might be a tight game with a one goal win in the end, but I’d have Leicester odds on here so for me they are a Max Bet at the odds – 2.16 looks excellent value.

The Striker Says:
Five points win Leicester to beat Southampton at 2.16 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsthlei

MATCH STATS

  • Southampton have lost their last three Premier League home games against Leicester by an aggregate score of 15-2. Their 9-0 defeat in this fixture last season is the biggest home defeat by any side in English top-flight history.
  • Leicester won the reverse fixture 2-0 in January, but haven’t done the double over Southampton in the Premier League since the 1999-00 campaign.
  • Southampton have lost twice to Leicester already this season, 0-2 in the league and 0-1 in the FA Cup. The last time they lost three times to the same opponent in a season was against Chelsea in 2017-18, while the last time they did so without scoring was against Derby in 1997-98.
  • Southampton have taken just 10 points from their 16 Premier League games so far in 2021 (W3 D1 L12), fewer than any other side this calendar year. Saints have lost 12 of their last 15 league games (W2 D1), a run which began with defeat against Leicester.
  • Southampton have conceded 11 goals in their last six home league games (0 clean sheets), accounting for 55% of their total goals conceded at St Mary’s so far this season. They had kept six clean sheets in their first nine home league games this term.
  • Southampton have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side this season (21). At home they’ve dropped a league-high 14 points, failing to win almost as many games when scoring first as they’ve won (W5 D1 L4).
  • Leicester’s defeat at West Ham ended a run of 10 away league games without defeat (W6 D4). The Foxes haven’t lost consecutive Premier League games on the road since their final two such games of 2019-20.
  • Leicester’s Ayoze Pérez has scored more Premier League goals against Southampton than he has against any other side in the competition (7). This includes two hat-tricks against Saints, including one in Leicester’s 9-0 win in this fixture last term.
  • Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored five goals in five Premier League appearances against Southampton at St Mary’s Stadium, including a hat-trick in this fixture last season. Despite averaging a goal-per-game at the ground, he’s failed to score in more games there (3) than score (2).
  • Southampton’s Theo Walcott has scored five goals in his 10 Premier League appearances against Leicester, only netting more against Tottenham and West Ham in the competition (6 each). His five goals against the Foxes have come at three different stadiums – 2x Emirates, 2x Goodison Park and 1x King Power Stadium.