THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League action between WEST HAM v WATFORD at 8pm with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
WEST HAM V WATFORD
8pm What a massive game for both sides, and an excellent choice for Friday night football! Both sides have a little bit of comfort, so it’s not exactly do or die but a win for either would see them safe. Bournemouth lost to City midweek, as you would expect, so it’s highly unlikely that West Ham and Watford will go down, but if there is to be a loser then they will be in trouble as we head into the final fixtures.
Both sides are fighting for their lives and come into the game off the back of wins. West Ham put Norwich to the sword at the weekend with a smooth 4-0 win, while Watford have won their last two fixtures 2-1 against Newcastle and Norwich. You’d have to say that those wins were reasonably expected, and tonight is crunch time.
Watford only scored twice against Newcastle, but they battered them. They created an xG of 3.42, however this must come with a question mark because Newcastle at bottom of the table on xG – they’ve been consistently giving up a host of chances all season. West Ham have been recording pretty impressive numbers lately and they are worth backing at 2.44 here.
In their last four fixtures they have had xG’s of 4.0, 2.14, 2.33 and 2.38. They have only won two of those games, but they should have won all four. They are in superb form coming into this clash and although Watford will have confidence from beating Newcastle and Norwich – if the game goes to xG form then The Hammers will win and stay in the Premier League for another season.
The Striker Says:
Two points win West Ham to beat Watford at 2.44 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQweswat
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have won three of their last four Premier League meetings with Watford (L1), as many as they had in their first nine such games against them (D2 L4).
- 60% of Watford’s Premier League wins against West Ham have been away from home (3/5) – their six visits to the Hammers in the PL have seen them alternate between a defeat and a victory each time, winning this fixture last season.
- West Ham are looking to pick up back-to-back Premier League wins for the first time since August 2019 following their 4-0 win at Norwich last time out. Their consecutive victories back in August came against Watford and Norwich.
- Watford have won their last two Premier League games, despite conceding the first goal both times. Only four teams have ever won 3+ Premier League games in a row despite conceding first – Arsenal (4 in March 2012), Manchester United (3 in January 2003), Newcastle (3 in December 2001) and Leeds (3 in November 1997).
- Watford have lost their last four away league games by an aggregate score of 0-8. It’s their longest losing run on the road since May 2018, in a run of six straight defeats in which they also failed to score a single goal.
- Watford have won their last two Premier League games on Friday, beating Cardiff City in February 2019 (5-1) and Norwich City in November 2019 (2-0). West Ham have won just one of their last five Premier League games on Friday (W1 D1 L3).
- West Ham’s Mark Noble has scored three goals in his last two league games against Watford. In his league career, he’s netted five goals against the Hornets, versus no other side has he scored more.
- Michail Antonio has been involved in 78% of West Ham’s Premier League goals since the restart (7/9), scoring six and assisting one. He netted all four of their goals in their 4-0 win at Norwich last time out, doubling his Premier League tally for the season.
- Since the start of the 2015-16 campaign, only Luka Milivojevic (23) and Jamie Vardy (22) have taken more penalties in the Premier League than Watford’s Troy Deeney (21), with the striker converting 17 of those efforts from the spot.
- Troy Deeney has been directly involved in 23.8% of Watford’s 273 Premier League goals (45 goals, 20 assists). Of all teams with 200+ Premier League goals, only Josh King with Bournemouth (25.3%) and Les Ferdinand with QPR (24.2%) have had a hand in a higher share of their team’s goals in the competition’s history.
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