THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s Premier League game between ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
ARSENAL V NEWCASTLE
8pm Arsenal host Newcastle for Monday Night Football this week quite quickly after the teams met here in the FA Cup. Arsenal ran out easy 2-0 winners that day with a few changes to the playing XI. Newcastle find themselves on a poor run of form at the moment and while they aren’t in the relegation battle at the moment, Fulham are seven points behind them so they can’t let this run go for too much longer.
Arsenal let down their backers, including me, again midweek with a very poor 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace. They barely created anything with xG finishing 0.84 to 0.62 to Palace. I thought they had enough firepower to beat Palace but unfortunately they couldn’t get the job done. As I said prior to that game, Arsenal have had a good run of results but their xG figures say they have been lucky. The wins over Chelsea and Brighton should have been draws if you look at xG, however I thought they would beat Palace before coming unstuck against higher quality teams.
We have a similar situation tonight in the sense that Newcastle are woefully out of form and have been playing poor football. Sheffield United had their first win of the season against them last week and bossed the game with an xG of 2.13 to 0.90. They haven’t created much lately, however in fairness to them they have had to play Leicester, Liverpool and Manchester City recently.
I can’t place enough trust in Arsenal to support them at odds of 1.46 tonight. I would be interested if they drifted to 1.6+ with BETDAQ Betting Exchange but I can’t see a drift that big happening. And then, we got around 1.6 midweek and they failed to win. I can see Newcastle playing a cagey game here and putting a lot of men behind the ball, trying to frustrate Arsenal and with that in mind under 2.5 goals looks the value call here at 2.06.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.06 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarlnew
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won 14 of their last 15 Premier League matches against Newcastle (L1), losing the other 1-2 in April 2018.
- Newcastle United have lost their last eight away Premier League matches against Arsenal since a 1-0 victory in November 2010.
- Arsenal have kept 25 Premier League clean sheets against Newcastle – only Manchester United have kept more against a specific opponent in the competition’s history (27 against both Tottenham and Aston Villa).
- Arsenal beat Newcastle 2-0 at home in the FA Cup third round on the 9th January this year – if they win here, it will be their shortest gap (9 days) between home victories against the same opponent since January 2008, when they beat Newcastle twice at the Emirates in the space of three days.
- Arsenal have lost two of their last three Premier League games played on Mondays (W1), as many as they had in their previous 17 (W12 D3). However, the Gunners have won each of their last six Monday league matches at the Emirates.
- Newcastle have won five of their last nine away Premier League games in London (D1 L3), having won just two of their previous 20 such visits before that (D3 L15).
- Since beating Wigan 3-0 at St James’ Park in December 2012, this will be Newcastle’s 18th consecutive Monday Premier League game played away from home. The Magpies have lost 13 of their previous 17 in this run (W2 D2), failing to score on 12 occasions.
- Arsenal striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has either scored (3) or assisted (2) in five of his six games against Newcastle in all competitions, finding the net in each of his last three against the Magpies.
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has never won an away Premier League game against Arsenal (D3 L8), with his sides scoring just three goals in 11 away games against the Gunners.
- Newcastle’s Andy Carroll has scored five Premier League goals against Arsenal – against no side has he scored more in the competition. He was the last player to score a winning goal for Newcastle away against the Gunners (November 2010), and had nine of the Magpies’ 12 shots in their recent FA Cup meeting against them.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
