PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: The Striker previews CHELSEA v EVERTON with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
CHELSEA V EVERTON
8pm We have Monday Night Football from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week as Chelsea host Everton. This should be an interesting game; Chelsea are the odds on favourites but Everton have got dragged back into a relegation battle again so every game is massive for them. Everton start this matchday only two points ahead of Nottingham Forest and Luton; Nottingham Forest also have their appeal into their point deduction as well. Everton are definitely the outsiders to go down, but it’s an uncomfortable position to be in at the moment.
Everton will have some massive games to end the season – they meet Chelsea here, have to play Liverpool and Arsenal but they also have games against all the sides around them – Nottingham Forest, Brentford, Luton and Sheffield United! They will stay up in my opinion, but they could have a major impact on who goes down between Forest and Luton too. Chelsea are sitting in mid-table, and their Premier League season is all over bar the shouting. They are too far away from the European spots to have a chance – they are in the FA Cup Semi-Final at the weekend, but they face Manchester City there!
Mauricio Pochettino’s men come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.75 with Everton 4.8 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. Chelsea odds on backers haven’t exactly had a good season, they have thrown away a lot of points this season – that’s why they sit in mid-table after all! The signs are there that they are improving going forward – their average xG created is 1.63 which is the sixth best attacking figure in the Premier League. However, they are still poor at the back; their average xG conceded is 1.48 which is basically mid-table standard and a reflection of their position in the table. They have also been very sloppy at the back; they are conceding more goals than they should be because their actual goals conceded average is 1.73.
There are a lot of reasons to avoid backing Chelsea at odds on, and it’s hard to make an argument that they should be massively shorter here. That’s even considering that Everton have been really struggling to get results recently. That win over Burnley last time out was absolutely massive for them, and that ended a run of 13 Premier League games without a win. As I said prior to that Burnley game, they were “lucky” that Forest and Luton have been so poor this season to avoid slipping into the relegation zone off the back of a run like that! Everton have been much more comfortable at home this season – they are conceding more than they are creating away from home; but obviously the results haven’t been coming at home or away lately!
It’s hard to have a lot of confidence in either side here. Generally it hasn’t paid to support Everton away from home lately but considering their stats they have done well to get as many points as they have away. There’s also a lot of red flags with Chelsea, and the 1.75 doesn’t jump off the page as a massive good value bet here. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market, and Over 2.5 goals stands out to me at 1.6 as well as Both Teams To Score at 1.62. Both sides have been conceding a lot of chances this season, making silly mistakes at the back too and it’s hard not to see goals in this one. Everton might be in the relegation fight, but that’s mainly due to their points deduction. Their average xG created is 1.47, just 0.01 below Manchester United for example so they have created enough to suggest they can score here. Both Teams To Score is two ticks bigger at 1.62 so I’m going to opt for that bet, but I couldn’t put anyone off either bet at the odds.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.62 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CheEvr
