MONDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Monday’s Premier League game between EVERTON v TOTTENHAM with FACTMAN stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
EVERTON V TOTTENHAM
8pm We have Monday Night Football from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week, and we have an absolute cracker too as Everton host Spurs. Conte has finally left Spurs after plenty of digs at the club, and I have to say after the outburst when they drew 3-3 against Southampton before the International break; I am surprised he stayed for a little while after that! One has to wonder how the players feel – he basically called the club a failure without any trophies. Usually when a manager has an outburst like that, especially the way he delivered it with venom too, it’s a sign that his time is up. It will be interesting to see what type of performance we get here from the players.
Everton come into the game in a completely different headspace. Sean Dyche has been a massive success since taking over from Frank Lampard, and they have given themselves a great opportunity of staying in the Premier League now after wins against Arsenal, Leeds and Brentford along with draws against Chelsea and Nottingham Forest. They are still slap-bang in the relegation battle, but they weren’t in the bottom three heading into this matchday and Dyche has them playing much better football now too. Against a Spurs side seemingly in crisis, they will fancy their chances here.
We have a very interesting market here. Spurs are favourites, as you would expect really, but they aren’t odds on and there’s plenty of layers about for them. The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Everton 3.55, Spurs 2.3 and the draw is 3.45. We’re going to have some big opinions on the Spurs price on either side of the book, and I have to say I am in the lay camp. Everton have put in a lot of good performances at home since Dyche took over, and they are creating more chances now than they have been all season.
Added to Everton being a lot better at home, Spurs have been poor away from home this season. Nearly all of their poor performances have come away from home – the Conte press conference took all the headlines after drawing with Southampton, but the Saints finished the game with a higher xG figure. Spurs lost away to Wolves, and then 4-1 at Leicester too. Most of their low xG figures created have come away from home this season as well.
I expect a very entertaining game, with plenty of talking points along the way. It’s going to be fascinating to see how the situation plays out at Spurs from here, but for the time being I am very happy to lay Spurs at 2.3. I fully expect Everton to make the game closer than those odds suggest, and you wouldn’t be totally surprised to see Everton win either. I’m happy to keep the draw on our side here though, and the Spurs lay is a confident selection.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Tottenham to beat Everton at 2.3 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EveTot
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Everton have won just one of their last 20 Premier League games against Spurs (D9 L10), picking up a 1-0 away win in September 2020.
● After losing three away Premier League games against Everton between January 2011 and December 2012, Tottenham are now unbeaten in their last nine visits to Goodison Park (W3 D6), though each of the last three have ended level.
● Tottenham have kept more Premier League clean sheets against Everton than against any other opponent (24), shutting them out in each of their last three meetings.
● Everton have won three of their four Premier League games at Goodison Park under Sean Dyche (L1), more than their first 10 home league games of the season under Frank Lampard beforehand (W2 D2 L6). All three of those wins under Dyche have been 1-0, with seven of the Toffees’ last nine home wins in the Premier League being by that exact score.
● Tottenham have conceded as many Premier League goals this season as they did in the whole of last term (40). It’s their most goals shipped from their first 28 games of a league campaign since 2007-08 (45).
● Tottenham have scored a league-high 14 headed goals in the Premier League this season, last netting more in a single campaign in 1999-00 (16). Nine of these have been scored by Harry Kane, with no player ever scoring 10 headers in a season in the competition.
● In Everton’s eight Premier League games under Sean Dyche, they have either kept a clean sheet (3 times) or conceded at least two goals (5 times). Indeed, since his first game in charge, only Liverpool (5) have more Premier League clean sheets than the Toffees (3), but despite this, only Nottingham Forest (14) have conceded more goals than Dyche’s side (12).
● Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored 14 Premier League goals against Everton, only netting more against Leicester (18). He’s netted six braces against the Toffees, with only Alan Shearer netting multiple goals in more different Premier League games against an opponent (7 vs Leeds – 6 braces, 1 hat-trick).
● Abdoulaye Doucouré has been directly involved in each of Everton’s last four Premier League goals (2 goals, 2 assists). Those four goal involvements have come in his last three league games; he had no goals or assists in his previous 38 Premier League appearances before this.
● Tottenham’s Richarlison is yet to score in 19 Premier League appearances for the club, despite attempting 19 shots with an xG total of 2.2. However, the Brazilian did score in his only previous away appearance against Everton in the competition in November 2017 for Watford, and over half of his overall goals in the division have come at Goodison Park (52% – 25/48).
