THE STRIKER: previews the Premier League game on Monday with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bet. It’s LEEDS v CRYSTAL PALACE at 8pm.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
LEEDS V CRYSTAL PALACE
8pm Monday Night Football sees Leeds host Crystal Palace in what should be a good game. Leeds have a game in hand on Crystal Palace, but both these sides have the same number points at this stage of the season. Most football fans would say that Leeds have played at a completely different level compared to Crystal Palace and that’s probably true – but the reality is Leeds are still conceding too many goals to be really successful in the Premier League.
The main issue for Crystal Palace has been going forward for a number of years. They generally don’t create too many chances and they could be the ideal team for Leeds as they are excellent going forward, but slack at the back. Leeds xG figures have been worrying for a few weeks however – they only created 0.35 in a loss against Brighton, neat Newcastle 2-1 but gave away an xG of 1.44, were lucky to beat Leicester 3-1 looking at xG and then conceded an xG of 1.80 against Everton. It would be fair to say that their level has dropped from the start the season; and it’s a very interesting time to see can they bounce back.
What makes this game intriguing is the betting. Leeds are odds on at 1.87 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange and the question is whether those odds are too short or not. For me it’s worth backing as Palace have been pretty poor this season and while Leeds have their faults; they have played good football in general. The chances they give away is a definite worry, but Crystal Palace create very little.
Palace were exceptionally lucky to beat Newcastle last week, with xG finishing 2.43 to 0.76 to Newcastle and they also gave up an xG of 3.42 to West Ham recently. They played well against Wolves, but Wolves haven’t been themselves this season. I feel Leeds will get the job done here as this Palace side looks ideal for them – they give away chances and Leeds can take advantage, while keeping things in check at the back against a Palace side who aren’t impressive attacking.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Leeds to beat Crystal Palace at 1.87 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleecry
MATCH STATS
- Leeds are set to host Crystal Palace at Elland Road for a Premier League match for the first time since the 1997/98 season, losing 0-2 under George Graham.
- Crystal Palace are looking to record a league double over Leeds for the first time since the 1985/86 season in the second tier. They have never achieved this in the top-flight.
- The home team has won eight of the last 10 matches between Leeds and Crystal Palace in all competitions, with the other two ending as draws. The last away victory in this fixture was a 1-0 Palace win at Elland Road in March 2006 via a Jobi McAnuff winner.
- Leeds have lost both of their Premier League games on Monday this season, with both coming at home (1-4 v Leicester, 0-1 v Wolves). Meanwhile, Crystal Palace are winless in their last eight Monday league games (D2 L6) since beating Arsenal 3-0 in April 2017.
- Crystal Palace are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since a run of four between February and June 2020.
- Leeds haven’t lost three consecutive home league games since October 2017, while they last did so in the Premier League in November 2003.
- Three of Crystal Palace’s eight Premier League wins this season have come against the newly-promoted teams – they haven’t won four in a row against newly promoted teams since a run of five between January and September 2015.
- This season, Leeds striker Patrick Bamford has scored in two Premier League games against teams he’s previously played for in the competition, netting against Crystal Palace and Burnley. The last player to score in three Premier League games against former teams in a season was Romelu Lukaku in 2017-18 (vs Everton, West Brom and Chelsea for Man Utd).
- Leeds’ Raphinha has been directly involved in four goals in his last three Premier League games (2 goals, 2 assists), as many as he had in his first 13 in the competition (2 goals, 2 assists).
- Crystal Palace’s Eberechi Eze has been involved in as many Premier League goals in 2021 in six appearances (2 goals, 1 assists) as he was in 14 appearances in 2020 (1 goal, 2 assists), though two of those were against Leeds in November, when he both scored and assisted.
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