THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s Premier League game between WOLVES v LIVERPOOL with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
WOLVES V LIVERPOOL
8pm We have a fascinating game for Monday Night Football in the Premier League this week as Wolves host Liverpool. It’s fair to say that the layers of both these clubs have been coming out on top this season, and this is a fascinating game from a betting point of view. Liverpool have broken their losing Premier League run with wins in the Champions League but there no getting away from the fact that they have been pretty poor recently.
The biggest question here is; can Wolves take advantage of an under-par Liverpool? Wolves have been poor themselves this season, and they won’t be happy to be sitting in the bottom half of the table. We have a massive week ahead with all bets 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange for the Cheltenham Festival starting on Tuesday, and this is an excellent way to kick off the week!
It’s hard to believe that Liverpool have lost six games in a row at Anfield, and although they have come out on the wrong side of some close games, their performance against Fulham was very poor. They were very good in the Champions League against RB Leipzig creating an xG of 2.92, and while I feel stakes should be limited here given the level from Liverpool recently, I do like them tonight. They created an xG of 3.0 in a 2-0 away win to Sheffield United and when I look at the Wolves xG figures I feel they are there for the taking.
The 1.78 on Liverpool offer a nice bit of value in my opinion as I would have them around 1.7. Wolves generally try to keep games tight, but their main issue this season has been they have conceded too many chances, and thus goals. Their performances have been very poor, and although they played reasonably well against Aston Villa in their last game, they have thrown in some terrible performances. Even in their 1-0 win over Leeds, they were extremely lucky as they conceded an xG of 2.73! With that kind of defending, Liverpool should be able to win here and the 1.78 is big enough to take a chance on them even though they have been under-par lately.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool to beat Wolves at 1.78 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwollfc
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have lost their last eight Premier League meetings with Liverpool since a 1-0 victory at Anfield in December 2010. Only against Brighton have they had a longer losing run in their league history (9 between 1979-1989).
- Liverpool haven’t lost an away league game against Wolves since August 1981, winning four and drawing three of their seven trips to Molineux since.
- Wolves have lost only one of their last seven Premier League matches (W3 D3), having lost four of their six prior to this run (D2).
- Liverpool have lost nine Premier League matches this season, last losing more back in 2015-16 (10). A defeat here would be the earliest into a league season (29 games) they have suffered 10 losses since 2010-11, when their 10th defeat was in their 21st match.
- Wolves are looking to record back-to-back home Premier League wins for only the second time in the last two seasons, winning their final two at Molineux in the 2019-20 season.
- Since the start of February, Liverpool have the worst record in the Premier League, picking up just three points (P7 W1 D0 L6), with only West Bromwich Albion scoring fewer goals (3) than the Reds (4) in this time.
- In a 38-game Premier League season, only three teams have finished the season in the top four having won 43 or fewer points with 10 games remaining – Leeds United in 2000-01 (43), Liverpool in 2003-04 (42) and Manchester United last season (42).
- Liverpool have scored with just two of their last 67 shots in open play in the Premier League, with these efforts at goal seeing an xG value of 6.7, meaning Liverpool would have been expected to score almost seven goals.
- After not having a single shot on target in any of his first 101 Premier League appearances for Wolves, Conor Coady has had one in each of his last two games. Coady has never had a shot on target in three consecutive league games in his entire career.
- 27% of the league defeats suffered by Thiago in his 232-game top-flight career have come this season with Liverpool (7/26), while he has now ended on the losing side in more games with the Reds in 14 matches (7) than in 68 appearances with Barcelona (6).
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