🆕 THE STRIKER: previews Saturday’s Premier League match between ASTON VILLA v WOLVES with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The Striker has made a superb start since it began – 35% return on investment !!
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
ASTON VILLA V WOLVES
12.30pm It’s an FA Cup Weekend this week so we only have two Premier League fixtures, one today and one tomorrow. All games are massive for Aston Villa at this stage of the season given their position, but it really is fixtures like this where they need to collect some points. Wolves have returned from lockdown in good form though and it’s going to be a tough afternoon for Villa.
Wolves have won both their fixtures since returning without conceding, and absolutely bossed Bournemouth last time out only conceding an xG of 0.13! They only gave up an xG of 0.43 against West Ham too, and with Villa struggling this season they will certainly find it tough to score here.
Villa found a late goal for a much needed point against Newcastle in their most recent fixture and its fair to say that they have been somewhat unlucky since returning from lockdown. They beat Sheffield United on xG; although their “luck” captured the headlines with the goal not given, they were unlucky to lose against Chelsea and created more than Newcastle for the 1-1 draw.
Games behind closed doors have indeed lost some element of urgency and we will see teams with something to play for perform better. Perhaps the Villa numbers reflect this. However, Wolves are pushing for a Europa League spot and although Chelsea are clear now after beating City; they won’t have fully given up on a Top Four finish. Wolves have an xG of 1.66 away from home and Villa concede an xG of over 2 at home. If this game goes to form, then Wolves win. They have returned in good form and at 1.84 they are very much worth backing to win.
MATCH STATS
- Aston Villa have lost just one of their last 14 home games against Wolves in all competitions (W10 D3), going down 0-1 in the Premier League in March 2011. Indeed, the Villans have already beaten Wolves at Villa Park this season (2-1 in the EFL Cup).
- Wolves are looking to complete a league double over Aston Villa for the first time since the 1962-63 campaign.
- Aston Villa have picked up just two points from their last 21 available in the Premier League (W0 D2 L5).
- Aston Villa’s last six Premier League wins have been against sides in the bottom half of the table. They’re winless in their last 19 top-flight games against sides starting the day in the top six (D2 L17), losing each of the last 13 in a row.
- Wolves have won six Premier League away games this season – they last won more on the road in a single top-flight campaign in 1979-80 (10).
- Wolves have kept six clean sheets in their last seven Premier League matches (W4 D3), facing just 11 shots in their last two games combined and only four in their 1-0 win over Bournemouth.
- Aston Villa have won more fouls than any other Premier League side this season (411), with 35% of these being won by Jack Grealish alone (144).
- Wolves duo Raúl Jiménez and Adama Traoré have combined for 10 Premier League goals this season, only the seventh time in Premier League history that two players have combined for 10 or more goals in a single season.
- Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez is the top scoring Premier League player in all competitions this season, netting 24 goals. The last time a Wolves player netted more in a single campaign was Sylvan Ebanks-Blake in 2008-09 (25).
- No player has netted more winning goals in the Premier League this season than Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez (7), with the Mexican scoring the winner in each of their last three victories in the competition.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Wolves to beat Aston Villa at 1.84 with BETDAQ Exchange.
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