THE STRIKER: previews Saturday’s Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The action gets underway at 12.30pm with Everton v West Brom.
EVERTON V WEST BROM
12.30pm We’re all set for another Super Saturday in the Premier League and the excellent news is all sports are 0% commission on BETDAQ today! We’ll get some fantastic value today so hopefully we can find a few winners. We start the day with Everton taking on West Brom after starting their season with a bang as they beat Spurs away from home. West Brom started their season with a disappointing 3-0 loss to Leicester in which they created very little.
Both teams won 3-0 midweek, but they did face very limited opposition. I expect West Brom to try and focus on keeping things tighter at the back considering they gave up an xG of 2.98 against Leicester with home advantage. This might not be an excellent game to watch, but this Everton side can grind out a win. They stopped Spurs from scoring last week and West Brom barely created anything against Leicester so they can stop them scoring again here. Everton are worth backing at 1.59 to start the day, especially with 0% commission on offer.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Everton to beat West Brom at 1.59 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevewba
MATCH STATS
- Everton have lost just one of their last 11 Premier League encounters with West Bromwich Albion (W5 D5), a 0-1 reverse at Goodison Park in February 2016 under Roberto Martínez.
- West Brom have only won two of their 12 Premier League visits to Goodison Park (D4 L6), and just two of their last 19 away games at Everton in the top-flight overall (D8 L9).
- Against no side have West Brom kept more clean sheets in the Premier League than they have against Everton (8, level with Sunderland).
- Everton are winless in their last four home league meetings with newly promoted opposition (D1 L3), this after having won 10 in a row against promoted sides at Goodison Park beforehand.
- Following their 1-0 win at Spurs on MD1, Everton are looking for back-to-back victories at the start of a Premier League campaign for the first time since 2012-13.
- West Bromwich Albion haven’t lost their first away game in any of their last six Premier League campaigns (W2 D4). Indeed, the Baggies have kept a clean sheet in each of their last five such games, with three goalless draws followed by 1-0 wins over Crystal Palace (2016-17) and Burnley (2017-18).
- Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti has never lost a Premier League game to a newly promoted club in 15 previous such matches (W11 D4); this is the most any manager has faced promoted sides without ever suffering defeat to one in the competition.
- James Rodríguez created five chances on his Premier League debut for Everton last week, the most by a debutant in the competition since Alexis Sánchez with Arsenal in August 2014 (also 5).
- Since the start of last season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Everton’s highest goalscorer in the Premier League (14), while Lucas Digne has provided more assists than any other player at the club (8). These two players combined for Everton’s winner against Tottenham on MD1.
- Everton’s Theo Walcott scored a hat-trick against West Brom in the Premier League back in May 2015 for Arsenal, while he’s failed to net in each of his other six appearances against them in the competition.
LEEDS V FULHAM
3pm The two Premier League new boys clash quickly and although we’re so early in the season this is a big game for both sides. Fulham were brushed aside easily by Arsenal on the opening weekend while Leeds played out a thriller with Liverpool. Many Leeds fans were happy with the performance but looking at the underlining numbers doesn’t make for such optimism! Liverpool won the game 3.12 to 0.33 on xG. Leeds were extremely lucky to score three times, and we’d see a very different narrative if they lost 3-0. It will be very interesting to see how they perform today.
Personally, I would love to be taking Leeds on today after their performance last weekend, but Fulham aren’t an ideal side to take them on with. Fulham only created an xG of 0.16 against Arsenal last weekend and were totally played off the park. Leeds also won their home tie 3-0 in the Championship last season, although Fulham have won on the two occasions prior to that. Leeds are very short at 1.66, however I’m happy to have a small bet on the draw at 4.1.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 4.1 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLeeFul
MATCH STATS
- The side playing at home has not lost any of the last eight league meetings between Leeds United and Fulham (W3 D5), winning the last three in a row. Indeed, in the Premier League, the home team has won each of the last four clashes between the two sides.
- After their 3-0 win over Fulham in June in the Championship, Leeds are looking to win back-to-back league meetings with the Cottagers for the first time since December 2003, during their last Premier League season.
- In the last 31 Premier League matches played between two newly promoted clubs, the away side has managed to win just twice (D9 L20), with both such wins coming a relegated Norwich City last season (Aston Villa 5-1, Sheffield United 2-1).
- This will be Leeds’ first home game in the Premier League since their return to the division; they have only lost their opening home match in one of their previous 12 seasons in the competition (W8 D3), a 0-2 defeat to Sheffield Wednesday in August 1996.
- After winning their first ever Premier League game in Yorkshire (1-0 v Leeds in April 2002), Fulham have lost their last seven top-flight trips to the county by an aggregate score of 3-18.
- Leeds are looking to avoid losing both of their first two matches to a top-flight campaign for the first time since 1980-81. Indeed, their defeat against Liverpool was their first ever Premier League defeat on MD1.
- Fulham have lost 15 of their last 19 Premier League matches, with three of their four victories in that run coming in consecutive matches in April 2019.
- Leeds scored with all three of their shots on target in their opening day defeat against Liverpool – the Whites scored with just 31% of their shots on target in the Championship last season, the joint-4th lowest rate in the division.
- Patrick Bamford has scored in two of his last three Premier League appearances (dating back to May 2017), including a Leeds debut goal in the competition last week. He hadn’t scored in any of his first 25 games in the competition, though only two of those appearances were as a starter.
- Fulham midfielder Tom Cairney has been directly involved in more league goals against Leeds (seven – four goals, three assists) than he has against any other opponent in his professional career.
MANCHESTER UNITED V CRYSTAL PALACE
5.30pm Manchester United start their 2020/2021 season looking to keep going after being in excellent form after lockdown. Solskjaer had them playing some excellent football, however the one criticism of him so far has been over-playing his star players leading them to become tired. Obviously, they were going for a Top Four finish towards the end of last season and he had little choice, but that’s something he’ll have to work on this season with a packed schedule. He needs to use his bench a little earlier and hopefully get away with resting players. Ferguson was a genius at doing that!
On balance, United look a little short at 1.35. It’ll be a while before I trust them enough to back them at odds like that at home. They finished last season well but have a long way to go. Palace started their season with a win, and although somewhat lucky to not concede against Southampton, they will believe they can get a result here. I think Palace will come to sit back and frustrate United which worked in the past – I like a small investment on under 2.5 goals which looks over-priced at 2.36.
The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.36 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunpal
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have only lost one of their 22 Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (W17 D4). However, this defeat came in this exact fixture last season after Patrick van Aanholt became the first (and to date, only) visiting player to score a 90th-minute winner away to Man Utd in the Premier League.
- Crystal Palace have never previously won back-to-back league trips to Manchester United; only six sides have won away at Old Trafford in consecutive Premier League seasons – Man City (three in a row on two occasions), Bolton, Liverpool, Southampton, Tottenham and West Brom.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four Premier League away games against the two Manchester sides (W2 D2) – the last side to go five such games unbeaten in the competition were Chelsea between May 2013-October 2014 (W2 D3).
- Manchester United have won their opening Premier League fixture more often than any other side in the competition (19), though this is the first time their season opener has not taken place on the opening weekend.
- Crystal Palace have never started a top-flight campaign with two consecutive victories before, last doing so in any division in the 2006-07 Championship.
- After a run of three home league defeats in five games between April-August 2019 (W1 D1), Manchester United have lost just one of their last 17 Premier League games at Old Trafford (W9 D7).
- Manchester United haven’t lost a Premier League game kicking off at 5.30pm since December 2015 (1-2 vs Bournemouth), winning 13 and drawing five of their 18 such games since then.
- Since his debut for the club in February, Bruno Fernandes has been involved in 20 of Man Utd’s 51 goals in all competitions (39%), leading the way for both goals (12) and assists (8) for the Red Devils in that time.
- After scoring Crystal Palace’s winner against Southampton on MD1, Wilfried Zaha is looking to score in consecutive Premier League games for the first time since November 2019. However, the Ivorian scored just once in his 19 away league games last season.
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has only faced Tottenham (10 games) more times in the Premier League without registering a single goal or assist than he has against Man Utd (9).
ARSENAL V WEST HAM
8pm Isn’t it fantastic we have all games on TV and spaced out like this? We finish the day with Arsenal hosting West Ham in a London Derby. Arsenal fans are back to believing they can finish Top Four again after an impressive opening weekend win and Aubameyang signing a new contract. The reality is that it was only a win against a newly promoted side, and bigger challenges lie ahead. Do they have the backbone to get results when they’re up against it in tough situations? The jury is still out for me.
They face a West Ham side who would have been bitterly disappointed to lose against Newcastle on the opening weekend. xG says they were unlucky to lose, but a draw was a fair result. The Hammers finished last season well, but they haven’t got the class to beat Arsenal and losing to a side like Newcastle is very worrying too. I’m happy to have a small bet on Arsenal at 1.56 today, they should be able to play around this West Ham defence and simply outclass them. Tougher days lie ahead for Arsenal!
The Striker Says:
One point win Arsenal to beat West Ham at 1.56 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarswhm
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won 10 of their last 11 home games against West Ham United in all competitions, with the only exception being on the opening day of the 2015-16 Premier League season (0-2).
- West Ham United have lost more Premier League matches against Arsenal (31) than versus any other opponent, while only against Everton (34) have the Gunners enjoyed more wins in the competition than they have over the Hammers.
- West Ham have lost each of their last three Premier League London derbies away from home, while they are yet to win such a match with David Moyes in charge (W0 D2 L3). In top-flight history, West Ham have lost 199 of their 484 London derbies, and could become the second side to lose 200 such matches (Tottenham, 213).
- Arsenal have lost their first home game in five of the last nine Premier League campaigns (W3 D1), which includes a defeat against West Ham in 2015-16. The Gunners had won eight of their previous nine such games before this run (D1).
- After a run of seven straight away losses between December and June last season, West Ham remained unbeaten in their final three away games of 2019-20 (W1 D2), with Michail Antonio netting six of their seven goals in this run.
- West Ham haven’t won their first away league game of the season in any of their last four campaigns (D1 L3) – their last such win was at Arsenal on the opening day of the 2015-16 season, however.
- West Ham boss David Moyes has never won away to Arsenal as a manager in any competition, drawing four and losing 15 of his 19 visits. Only at Chelsea (20) has he taken charge of more away games against an opponent without ever winning in his managerial career.
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored eight goals in his last six appearances for Arsenal in all competitions, netting in each of his last four games for the Gunners. The Gabonese striker has also been directly involved in 15 goals in his last 16 Premier League London derbies (12 goals, 3 assists).
- Willian created more chances than any other Arsenal player in their 3-0 win against Fulham on MD1, becoming the first player to assist two goals on his Premier League debut for the side since Ray Parlour against Liverpool in August 1992.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
