PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews three fixtures starting with WEST HAM v CHELSEA all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WEST HAM V CHELSEA
12.30pm Another Premier League weekend rolls around and we have an excellent Saturday on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. It’s a weekend headlined by the Manchester City v Arsenal game on Super Sunday, but we have a cracking Saturday before we get there with Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United all in action. We kick off the day with a London Derby as West Ham host Chelsea, and this should be an interesting game. Both clubs have gone through plenty of change during the summer – West Ham moved on from David Moyes and of course Chelsea had their usual change in manager too! Chelsea were the most active in the transfer market during the summer, but the signs so far haven’t been too good. Obviously with the amount of changes, things take time to bed in but we said that about Chelsea last season too – they finished very strongly under Mauricio Pochettino but now it seems they are right back to the same place when they hired him to be honest. They start the weekend sitting in eighth with seven points from four games, probably more worried is their stats – they are marginally conceding more chances than they are creating, and their average xG created is mid-table level at the moment.
It’s still very early days of course, but Chelsea don’t look like they are a side that are going to compete for the Top Four to be honest. West Ham had huge issues at the back last season, and their start to this season hasn’t inspired confidence that those issues have gone away. Chelsea come into the game as the favourites at 2.12 with West Ham trading 3.5 and the draw is 3.95 at the time of writing. West Ham have an average xG conceded of 1.69 after four games, which puts them in the bottom three for defensive figures – last season they massively over-performed in front of goal and that kept them in the top half of the table – if that stops I feel they will struggle. I would definitely lean towards a Chelsea win here, but the 2.12 doesn’t offer any value in my opinion – it’s hard to make the case that Chelsea should be odds on given the way they are playing. I feel we’ll see plenty of action here in front of goal, coupled with a few mistakes at the back – Both Teams To Score is trading 1.54 and that looks a very nice position to start the day.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WesChl
LIVERPOOL V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm We have a hectic afternoon with six games kicking off at 3pm; with a busy fixture list either side of the weekend with European commitments and the Carabao Cup Third Round, we don’t have any Friday or Monday night fixtures this week. Obviously there’s plenty of action to enjoy, but Liverpool hosting Bournemouth is the most interesting fixture in my opinion. Everything seemed to be going great for Arne Slot until Liverpool got slapped with a 1-0 loss here against Nottingham Forest last weekend. That was a big setback if they are going to be involved in a title race, especially dropping points here against a mid-to-low table side. I feel the most disappointing thing was their performance – it’s not like they battered them and failed to score – they didn’t finish the game with an xG over 2.0 or anything like that. Obviously they bounced back well in the Champions League midweek, and anything bar a comfortable home win here would be a massive shock. Liverpool come into the game as the red-hot favourites at 1.3 with Bournemouth 11.0 and the draw is 6.8 at the time of writing. That 1.3 is the lowest price in the Premier League this weekend.
With Liverpool trading so short in the match odds market, and Bournemouth don’t suggest that it’s worth laying the 1.3 either, we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value here. I do feel this is a case of how many goals rather than will Liverpool win; the only question you’d have backing the 1.3 is that obviously we had a very similar game last weekend and Liverpool backers got their fingers burnt. Bournemouth games have been very entertaining, but we haven’t seen a huge volume of goals apart from the Everton game. They have the third best attacking figure after four games, even marginally better than Liverpool’s but they are also conceding more-or-less the same amount of chances. Liverpool usually play an open game, and to be honest I feel Bournemouth can’t play anything bar an open game! Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.42 with Over 3.5 goals at 2.06 and Both Teams To Score is 1.8. Bournemouth have created enough to suggest they can score at some stage here, I couldn’t put anyone off the BTTS option but Over 3.5 goals at odds against looks cracking value to me.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 3.5 goals at 2.06 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivBne
CRYSTAL PALACE V MANCHESTER UNITED
5.30pm We finish Saturday in the Premier League with Crystal Palace hosting Manchester United. This is one of the most interesting games outside of Manchester City v Arsenal this weekend. Say what you want about this Manchester United squad, but it’s never dull. They hammered Barnsley 7-0 midweek in the Carabao Cup – obviously a huge gulf in class there but the main positive was Rashford scoring again. Once again though all the questions hang over them on their away performances, and how they get on against a side like Crystal Palace will tell us a lot. They’ve already come up short against Brighton on the road this season and then Liverpool at Old Trafford. Erik ten Hag is telling us this is a completely difficult team compared to last year, but the jury is still out! One positive for United so far is their defensive figure – their average xG conceded is 1.22 which is very good compared to last season at 1.73 which was the fourth worst defensive figure in the Premier League. Crystal Palace finished last season like a train with a new manager, playing some superb football too, but their start this season has definitely been lacklustre.
We have an open betting heat – one of the most opening betting heats of the weekend in the Premier League – Manchester United come into the game as the favourites at 2.52 with Crystal Palace 2.88 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. Palace have yet to record a win this season, they haven’t had a difficult fixture list either. Losses against Brentford and West Ham have been followed by draws against Chelsea and Leicester. They are conceding more chances than they are creating, which is surprising to be honest given the way they finished last season. Obviously backing Manchester United has to come with a wealth warning these days, but I do feel that they are a few ticks too big at 2.52 here. They are playing the better football than Palace who seem there for the taking at the moment – you’d always have to worry about United at the back until we see otherwise, but Palace haven’t been creating a huge amount that you would be majorly worried about. I feel a small bet on United is a good value position here.
The Striker Says:
One point win Manchester United to beat Crystal Palace at 2.52 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CrlMnu
