PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY, CHELSEA v BRIGHTON and WOLVES v LIVERPOOL all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
NEWCASTLE V MANCHESTER CITY
12.30pm We have another fascinating Saturday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week! Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool are all in action, and no doubt they will be a popular treble – there are plenty of willing layers for each of the favourites! We start the day with Newcastle hosting Manchester City, Pep Guardiola’s men dropped their first points of the season in a 2-2 draw last weekend against Arsenal. It was a cracking game, and I have to say I really enjoyed the needle between the teams afterwards. That is what a proper top of the table rivalry should be – I don’t want to see them all being mates after the game like Liverpool and City recently! You want the title contenders to hate each other really; it adds to the drama. Newcastle have had a lacklustre start to the season looking at their stats; their average xG created is only 1.23 which puts them in the bottom five attacking figures coming into this weekend. They had their first loss of the season last weekend, but they have managed three wins from five games even with their average level of football – obviously their 2-1 win here over Spurs being the highlight.
As you would expect, Manchester City come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.66 with Newcastle 5.3 and the draw is 4.7 at the time of writing. I was surprised to see City trading as high as 1.66 when I clicked into the market to be honest – that looks cracking value in my opinion. City have an average xG created of 2.23 which is miles away from the Newcastle figure – not only that but they have the best defensive figure in the Premier League too. It’s hard to fault City, and even when they get into situations like the weekend against Arsenal they seem to find a way to get themselves out of it. On the surface with Newcastle starting the weekend in sixth everything looks OK, but their stats have a lot of red flags – not only have they been struggling to create chances, their average xG conceded is a whopping 1.84 which is the joint-worst defensive figure in the Premier League. If Newcastle don’t improve significantly then this is going to be a one sided affair in my opinion, and at 1.66 I’m very happy with a five star NAP on City.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Manchester City to beat Newcastle at 1.66 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NwcMnc
CHELSEA V BRIGHTON
3pm As always we have a busy Saturday afternoon with five games kicking off at 3pm – we have something for everyone with red-hot favourites and very open betting heats! Chelsea v Brighton looks the highlight in my opinion though, and we should have a cracker here. Chelsea have had an excellent week coming into this game – they beat West Ham comfortably last weekend and then strolled to a win in the Carabao Cup midweek. Two wins, eight goals and two clean sheets is a nice way to boost confidence levels. Obviously Chelsea have been through a lot with a change in manager during the summer (as usual!) and a lot of new signings – it was always going to take time for things to bed in. The reality however is though they have had a relatively easy fixture list recently, and Brighton will be a very good test for them. We’ll get a better idea of where this Chelsea side stand compared to their recent opposition. Chelsea come into the game as the odds on favourites with home advantage at 1.77 with Brighton 4.7 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing.
Much like the City game above, I was slightly surprised with the odds here when clicking into the market. Brighton have a better attacking figure and defensive figure compared to Chelsea, and while home advantage is a factor I wouldn’t have Chelsea as short as 1.77. Chelsea are actually marginally conceding more than they are creating this season – their average xG conceded is 1.47 – compare that to Brighton at just 1.05 which is the third best defensive figure in the Premier League this season. Brighton have had to play Manchester United and Arsenal so it’s not like they’ve had a very easy fixture list either – I know their last two games against Ipswich and Nottingham Forest were very disappointing draws, but I feel they can get a result here. The 1.77 on Chelsea is far too short in my opinion, and I’m happy with a confident lay in a game that should be closer than the odds suggest.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Chelsea to beat Brighton at 1.77 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ChlBri
WOLVES V LIVERPOOL
5.30pm We finish Saturday in the Premier League with Wolves hosting Liverpool. Arsenal take the title of being the shortest price of the weekend as they are 1.2 at home to beat Leicester, but Liverpool are the only other side trading 1.4 this weekend. Arne Slot’s men are currently trading 1.39 with Wolves 8.6 and the draw is 5.9 at the time of writing. Liverpool got back to winning ways last weekend with a very smooth 3-0 win against Bournemouth. Apart from the shock 1-0 loss to Nottingham Forest, Liverpool have pretty much ticked all their boxes this season. With Manchester City and Arsenal drawing last weekend, Liverpool are only one point behind City at the top of the table heading into this weekend. Wolves have had a very tough start to the season, and it already feels like they will be heavily involved in the relegation battle – only one point from their opening five games leaves them bottom of the table coming into this weekend. They have had a difficult fixture list however; they’ve already had to play Arsenal, Chelsea, Newcastle and Aston Villa. Things obviously don’t get easier here as they meet Liverpool and then in October they Manchester City and Brighton!
Wolves have the fourth worst attacking figure after five games, and they have conceded plenty of chances and goals. Given their level of opposition though that isn’t a surprise. The one thing you’d be trying to do at Wolves is keep morale high in the dressing room because things will get easier after this start to the season. Liverpool conceded against West Ham in their win midweek in the Carabao Cup, but they have managed to keep four clean sheets from their five Premier League games. I can’t see past the Liverpool win here, but it’s about how to play it in the goals market in my opinion. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.49 but the market is expecting Liverpool to do most of the work with Both Teams To Score available at 1.76. I have to say that’s a little short considering Wolves haven’t managed to create a lot, and Liverpool have been rock solid at the back too. Another option is Liverpool to cover the 1.5 goal handicap at 2.02, and while I couldn’t put anyone off Both Teams Not To Score at odds against, the 2.02 on Liverpool to cover the handicap is too big to turn down.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Wolves at 2.02 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WlvLiv
