PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews MANCHESTER CITY v SOUTHAMPTON and EVERTON v FULHAM both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER CITY V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Another Premier League Saturday rolls around on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We don’t have a 12.30pm kick off this week as we have Friday Night Football, we so kick off the action at 3pm. We have four fixtures, and all four home sides are odds on. Manchester City are the shortest price of the weekend as they host Southampton, but I do feel that is the fixture to focus on with a view to the goal markets. Manchester City come into the game trading as short as 1.13 at the time of writing with Southampton 25.0 and the draw is 12.5. Southampton were always going to face a huge challenge to stay in the Premier League this season given the amount of money in the top flight these days – the gulf in class between the Premier League and Championship has just grown so much in recent years. Southampton started the season as one of the favourites for relegation, and one point from eight games hasn’t changed that! Things look quite bleak for the Saints, that loss last weekend when 2-0 up at home against Leicester was a massive kick in the teeth too. It would be one of the biggest Premier League shocks if City didn’t win here.
I would suggest most football fans will just be thinking it’s a case of how many goals can City score rather then will they win here. Southampton have an average xG conceded of 1.71, which is the fourth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season – not exactly the stat you want to take to City away! City have been ticking along nicely this season; they dropped sloppy points against Newcastle so Liverpool top the table, but bar any major drama in the courtroom with the 115 charges, it’s hard to see past City for the title. They have an average xG created of 2.24 which is the best attacking figure in the Premier League, one of the best in Europe. They also have the best defensive figure, but they have been conceding sloppy goals. It’s interesting to see Both Teams Not To Score is 1.8, effectively a City clean sheet in my opinion – that doesn’t make appeal in my opinion as I prefer City to cover the Handicap. The 1.53 on Man City -2 goals on the Asian Handicap (stakes void if they win by exactly two goals) is a cracking bet in my opinion – it’s a five star NAP to start the day for me!
The Striker Says:
Five points win Manchester City -2 goals Asian Handicap to beat Southampton at 1.53 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MciSth
EVERTON V FULHAM
5.30pm We finish Saturday in the Premier League with Everton hosting Fulham, and while this might not be the most glamorous fixture in the Premier League this weekend for a TV slot, we do have an interesting market. We have the most open market of the weekend with both sides trading the exact same price at the time of writing – it’s not often that happens! Both sides are trading 2.8 with the draw at 3.45 at the time of writing. Fulham have definitely made a stronger start to the season compared to Everton – they have a better attacking figure and they are three points ahead. Everton come into the weekend sitting down in 16th but the four sides below them definitely look like they will be the four that battle it out for relegation. The bottom five in the table coming into this weekend are actually the bottom five in the average xG created table too, so it’s no surprises where they are sitting – Everton have the fifth worst attacking figure, so as I said they will likely be safe this season just because the bottom four are worse than them. Fulham games have been entertaining and pretty open; both teams have scored in six of their eight Premier League games so far.
Fulham are marginally creating more than they are conceding at the moment, and a performance level like that usually puts you in mid-table anywhere in Europe really unless you massively under-perform compared to the chances created/conceded. The Everton performance level is much lower than Fulham, and I have to say I would have Fulham as the favourites here. I know home advantage tends to be a factor for Everton – they do play much better at home – but I feel the odds are slightly off here. Obviously we were always going to have a reasonably open betting heat for what should be a very close game, but I would have Everton bigger in the market. I’m very happy with a position on the Everton lay here to have the draw and the Fulham win on our side – from a value point of view I do feel this Everton price is too short.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Everton to beat Fulham at 2.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EvrFul
