PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker previews LIVERPOOL V BRIGHTON, BURNLEY V FULHAM and ARSENAL V WOLVES all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LIVERPOOL V BRIGHTON
3pm We have another cracking Saturday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange this week! We don’t have an early kick off this week, so we begin with two games kicking off at 3pm and Liverpool v Brighton looks the pick of them. Obviously we have all the ongoing drama with Mo Salah and Arne Slot which is still going to dominate the headlines this weekend. Mo Salah is due to head off on International duty for AFCON so he did pick a strange time to speak to the press. He was left out of the squad midweek for the Champions League game, and I have to say it would be a surprise if he was in the squad here. I feel the writing is on the wall for Salah to be honest; it feels like if the situation isn’t sorted over the weekend then we won’t play for the club again – I can’t see it being sorted during the AFCON. Anyway, the show must go on and Liverpool certainly done that midweek with a win away to Inter Milan in the Champions League. They had a late winner, but the performance was the best we’ve seen from Liverpool for a while – you’d have to read into that as the dressing room is on the side of Arne Slot, especially with Salah left out.
I think if the players downed tools in that game, then it would have been obvious that Slot has lost the dressing room – we saw the opposite. Liverpool have been dropping points for fun in the Premier League recently though, so let’s not say that they have turned the corner just yet! They come into this game as the odds on favourites at 1.73 with Brighton 5.0 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. Backing Liverpool at the moment has to come with a wealth warning, so the 1.73 doesn’t make much appeal – two wins from their last ten Premier League games is a stat that happily will put me off that bet. Brighton have the sixth best attacking figure in the Premier League this season, and given Liverpool have been making so many errors at the back it’s hard to see them keeping a clean sheet. The ironic thing about the Salah drama is that Liverpool’s issues haven’t been up front, they’ve been at the back! This should be a very entertaining game in my opinion, and Over 2.5 goals looks cracking value at 1.58 in what should be an end-to-end game! That’s a confident bet to start the weekend for me.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLLiBr
BURNLEY V FULHAM
5.30pm Next we have an interesting market as Burnley host Fulham. On paper, this is a game that Fulham should be winning but they have really struggled to get over the line in games this season. That explains why they aren’t trading odds on coming into the game, even when Burnley have been so poor this season. Fulham are trading 2.0 with Burnley 4.2 and the draw is 3.65 at the time of writing. While Burnley might not be in as bad of a position as Wolves, the writing is still on the wall for them in the relegation battle – they sit second bottom, becoming a little adrift from the rest now and their under-lining numbers are woeful. They are the only side with an average xG created sub 1.0, and not only do they have the worst attacking figure in the Premier League, they also have the worst defensive figure too! There really aren’t many positives for Burnley at the moment – obviously home advantage and the fact that Fulham are only seven points ahead of them might give the fans something to cling to coming into the game, but as I said above – it feels like the writing is on the wall already and it will be the Championship again next season.
We know how average Burnley are, and the big question here is do we take the 2.0 on Fulham? Coming into the weekend sitting down in 15th hardly inspires confidence, but their performance levels haven’t been that bad. They are playing to a mid-table standard, which you’d expect from Fulham. They are marginally creating more than they are conceding by 0.01 which generally gets you into mid-table in any top European league. However, they have been very sloppy at the back this season and that is what has them in the low end of the table. While Fulham making so many sloppy errors at the back has to be a concern coming into this game, Burnley might not be able to take advantage of that. As I said, they have the worst attacking figure – even worse than Wolves – and they are conceding an average of two goals a game this season. I’m happy to take the 2.0 on Fulham with a confident bet.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Fulham to beat Burnley at 2.0 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBuFu
ARSENAL V WOLVES
8pm We finish off Saturday with an 8pm kick off, which is a superb time for TV viewers. Obviously it’s not ideal for away fans traveling, but I have to say I really enjoy this TV slot! Arsenal host Wolves in one of the biggest miss-matches of the weekend. It’s top v bottom, and the only question here is how many goals can Arsenal score rather than will they actually win. Wolves are having a terrible season, and they are nailed to the bottom of the table with just two points from 15 games – morale at the club must be at an all time low. After losing to Aston Villa last weekend, this is just the ideal fixture for Arsenal – I know they were back in action midweek in the Champions League – but with the gap now down to two points between themselves and Manchester City; this is an easy three points to steady the ship in the title race. We have an incredibly short price here – indeed one of the shortest prices around Europe’s elite leagues this weekend. Arsenal are trading 1.15 with Wolves 26.0 and the draw is 10.0 at the time of writing.
With Arsenal trading so short and it being impossible to see past a home win here, we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. Wolves have been woeful this season – as I mentioned with Burnley above they actually haven’t performed the worst this season – but they haven’t been far off! They are under-performing at both ends of the pitch, but equally their figures are exceptionally poor. The volume of goals they are conceding would suggest the players have almost thrown the towel in already. Obviously this one is going to be how big the victory is for Arsenal, and they are trading 1.48 to cover the 1.5 goal handicap and 2.32 to cover the 2.5 goal handicap. Given all the goals Wolves have conceded lately, I couldn’t put anyone off either bet to be honest. However, Wolves have only managed eight goals in their 15 Premier League games and they come up against the best defence in Europe here. Arsenal have an average xG conceded of 0.88 which is exceptionally impressive in a league as competitive as the Premier League. I like Both Teams Not To Score at 1.52 which is effectively an Arsenal clean sheet on the way to winning.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.52 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLArWo
