THE STRIKER: previews Saturday’s Premier League action with extended stats and a recommended bet. It’s underway at 12.30pm with EVERTON v MANCHESTER UNITED.

The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.

EVERTON V MANCHESTER UNITED

12.30pm What a cracker to start the Premier League weekend! Manchester United suffered yet another embarrassing night when losing to Istanbul Basaksehir and all eyes will be on Ole Gunnar Solskjaer here as they face a tricky tie against Everton! It’s a brilliant way to start the weekend, and all football bets are 0% commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange today too! After a great start to the season, Everton have lost two in a two against Southampton and Newcastle. They were pretty poor against Newcastle last week, and many football fans will see that as Everton’s bubble bursting.

Even allowing for the fact that Everton were overrated after their early season wins, United have been pretty poor this season. If you took out their wins against PSG and RB Leipzig I think we would be seeing a lot of pressure put on Solskjaer. Even with those wins he is under pressure. They didn’t create much against Chelsea and Arsenal, and I just have to be against them here. The 2.5 looks a great lay to start the day.

The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Manchester United to beat Everton at 2.5 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevrmun

MATCH STATS

  • Everton are unbeaten in their last three league games against Man Utd (W1 D2), with both games last season ending 1-1. They last went four without defeat against the Red Devils in March 1990 (W2 D2).
  • Manchester United have won more Premier League games against Everton than any side has won against another in the competition’s history (36). Meanwhile, their 16 wins at Goodison Park is the joint-most away wins for a club at a specific venue in the competition (Man Utd also 16 at Villa Park).
  • Everton are looking to avoid losing three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since December 2019, while manager Carlo Ancelotti hasn’t lost three league games in a row since November 2006 with AC Milan.
  • After a run of scoring in 17 consecutive games, netting 39 goals in the process, Manchester United have failed to score in their last two Premier League matches (0-0 vs Chelsea, 0-1 vs Arsenal). They last failed to score in three consecutive league games in February.
  • Manchester United have won each of their last six Premier League away games – only between April-August 1993 (7) have they won more consecutively on the road in the competition.
  • Everton haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last seven Premier League home games, last having a longer such run between May-November 2015 (8). Indeed, the Toffees have conceded at least twice in each of their last four league games at Goodison Park.
  • Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored eight goals in his seven Premier League games this season, only failing to score in one game so far. The striker has scored in just one of his seven Premier League appearances vs Man Utd, but it was in his last such match against them (1-1 at Goodison Park, March 2020).
  • Manchester United have conceded four penalties in their six Premier League games this season, already more than they had in their 38 games last season (3). Indeed, only in four completed campaigns have they ever faced more penalties in the competition (5 in 2006-07 and 2016-17, 6 in 2010-11 and 2018-19).
  • Marcus Rashford has been involved in six goals in his last four Premier League away games for Manchester United, scoring three and assisting three.
  • Man Utd’s Bruno Fernandes has been involved in 12 goals in his nine Premier League away games so far (8 goals, 4 assists), only failing to register a goal involvement in one of those nine matches (vs Crystal Palace in July). Even if he fails to get a goal or assist in this game, it will be the highest number of goal involvements in a player’s first 10 Premier League away games in the competition’s history.

CRYSTAL PALACE V LEEDS

3pm This is a very interesting fixture! Leeds were easily beaten 4-1 by Leicester last weekend, but they stayed pretty consistent creating an xG of 1.92. They play a very open game, and they are likely to suffer results like that against the bigger and more organised sides throughout the season however that type of performance should be enough to beat sides like Crystal Palace. The Leeds xG figures are impressive and they should do well this season.

Palace are the opposite in the sense that they don’t create many chances, and if you recall they had a lot of problems going forward last season. If you take out their game against Fulham who have been poor at the start of the season, their recent xG figures read; 0.94, 0.80, 0.14, 0.69 and 1.82. I feel Leeds will outscore and out-play this Palace side, and at 2.54 they are very much worth backing. We should have a pretty good game here, Leeds games have generally been good to watch.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Leeds to beat Crystal Palace at 2.54 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcrylee

MATCH STATS

  • Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four home league games against Leeds (W2 D2), with this the first such meeting since a 2-2 draw in the Championship in March 2013.
  • Leeds have won three of their last four Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (L1), with this their first such game since a 2-0 win at Selhurst Park in January 1998.
  • Leeds United have won just one of their last 20 away league games against London sides (D6 L13), beating QPR 3-1 in December 2017.
  • Crystal Palace have lost two of their last three Premier League meetings with promoted sides (W1), as many as they had in their previous 14 such games in the competition (W8 D4 L2).
  • 49% of Crystal Palace’s all-time Premier League defeats have come at home, the highest such ratio in the competition (99/201). Their next home defeat will be their 100th in the Premier League, making them the eighth different team to reach this figure.
  • Leeds are looking to win three consecutive Premier League away games for the first time since August 2002, while they last won three in a row on the road without conceding in the top-flight in August 1970.
  • Crystal Palace have had fewer shots than any other side in the Premier League this season (57), while only Liverpool have had more than Leeds (96). However, Crystal Palace have scored with 14% of their efforts so far, their best shot conversion rate in a Premier League season on record (since 1997-98).
  • Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has lost all three of his Premier League games against Leeds, his worst 100% losing record against a side in the competition. His only previous home game against them ended in a 3-4 defeat with Blackburn in September 1997, with all seven goals being scored in the opening 33 minutes.
  • Wilfried Zaha’s five Premier League goals this season have been worth seven points to Crystal Palace – no other players’ strikes has been more valuable to their team so far this term.
  • Patrick Bamford has scored five goals in his three away appearances for Leeds in the Premier League this season, netting in each game on the road. The last Leeds player to score in four consecutive top-flight away games was Mark Viduka in August 2002.

CHELSEA V SHEFFIELD UNITED

5.30pm We’ve been landing some bets on Chelsea lately, and they are worth backing at 1.4 to beat this poor Sheffield United side. Chelsea have been playing very well lately – of course we all know what type of errors there are prone to at the back but they have been rock solid at the back lately. They have kept five clean sheets in a row, some of those games have come against weaker opposition but they have also included Sevilla and Manchester United away. Sheffield United started the weekend fixtures in 19th position with only one point from seven games.

One must point out that Sheffield United have had a tough run of fixtures at the start of the season. They’ve had to play Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea. They have done OK against the likes of Fulham, Leeds and Aston Villa but the reality is they haven’t been performing enough to get close to this Chelsea side. They look in peak form at the moment, and it’s a good time to back them to beat a side like Sheffield United.

The Striker Says:
Four points win Chelsea to beat Sheffield United at 1.4 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcheshu

MATCH STATS

  • Chelsea have conceded exactly twice in five of their last six home league games against Sheffield United (W2 D2 L2), keeping a clean sheet in the other (3-0 in March 2007).
  • Sheffield United avoided defeat in both league games against Chelsea last season (W1 D1), coming from 0-2 down to draw 2-2 in this exact fixture in August 2019.
  • Sheffield United are one of just four clubs against whom Chelsea have lost more Premier League games than they’ve won (W3 L4), alongside Oldham Athletic (W0 L3), Liverpool (W20 L23) and Arsenal (W19 L20).
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games (W2 D3), last having a longer run in the competition between September-November 2019 (6).
  • One point from seven games marks Sheffield United’s joint-worst ever start to a league campaign in their history (level with 1975-76, when they finished bottom of the top-flight). Meanwhile, the Blades haven’t remained winless in their first eight games of a league campaign since 1990-91.
  • Sheffield United have taken just one point from their last 30 available in the Premier League (W0 D1 L9). They last had a longer run without a league victory than their current run of 10 back in March 2011 (14).
  • Sheffield United have scored with just 5.1% of their shots in the Premier League this season (3/59) – only Burnley have a lower conversion rate so far (5%). Meanwhile, Chelsea have converted 18.8% of their efforts (16/85), the third highest in the competition this season.
  • Since beating Chelsea 3-0 in July, Sheffield United have netted just four goals in 10 Premier League games, with two of those coming from the penalty spot.
  • Chelsea’s Edouard Mendy has kept a clean sheet in each of his three Premier League starts, and could become just the fourth keeper to keep a clean sheet in each of his first four in the competition after Alex Manninger, Pepe Reina and Anders Lindegaard.
  • After failing to score or assist a goal in any of his first four Premier League appearances, Chelsea’s Timo Werner has been involved in four goals in his last three games in the competition (3 goals, 1 assist).

WEST HAM V FULHAM

8pm They had to wait a while, but Fulham finally got their first win of the Premier League season on Monday against West Brom. They will be a huge boost for them as West Brom were one of the sides towards the bottom of the table and the win took Fulham out of the bottom three for the time being. It will be interesting to see how they get on against a side like West Ham who have been in very good form at the start of the season. West Brom have been poor, and we shouldn’t read too much into that win.

The Hammers have had a tough run of fixtures lately against Spurs, Manchester City and Liverpool but they have performed very well. They got draws against Spurs and City, while losing 2-1 to Liverpool after leading 1-0. They have been excellent against the likes of Leicester and Wolves this season, and I really like them to win tonight at 1.86. This Fulham side is there for the taking, and if West Ham play like they have been recently then it should be one way traffic.

The Striker Says:
Four points win West Ham to beat Fulham at 1.86 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwhuful

MATCH STATS

  • After losing their first Premier League home match against Fulham in November 2001 (0-2), West Ham are unbeaten in their last 10 at home against the Cottagers in the top-flight (W6 D4).
  • Fulham haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 15 Premier League meetings with West Ham (W3 D3 L9), shipping exactly three in each of their last three away games against them.
  • West Ham have won 59% of their Premier League games against Fulham (13/22), their highest ratio against any opponent they’ve faced at least 10 times in the competition.
  • West Ham have kept just two clean sheets in their 13 Premier League home games since David Moyes returned to the club (W5 D4 L4), with both of those shutouts coming in 4-0 victories (v Bournemouth in January and Wolves in September).
  • Fulham are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since April 2019. However, away from home the Cottagers have won just one of their last 24 Premier League matches (D3 L20).
  • Fulham are winless in their last 16 Premier League London derbies (D1 L15), with their current run of 12 consecutive defeats in such matches a top-flight record.
  • West Ham have lost eight of their last 12 Premier League London derby matches (W3 D1), though they did win their last such match at home (3-2 vs Chelsea in July).
  • Since scoring with two consecutive efforts in January 2019 against Brighton, Fulham striker Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored with just three of his last 74 shots in the Premier League. He hasn’t scored with any of his last 44 non-penalty shots with his right or left foot, since a goal against Huddersfield Town in December 2018.
  • West Ham manager David Moyes has won 12 of his 13 Premier League home meetings with Fulham, with his only failure coming in a 2-2 draw in February 2014 as Manchester United boss.
  • West Ham’s Manuel Lanzini has scored 10 goals in 26 Premier League London derbies, including the equaliser in the Hammers’ 3-3 draw with Spurs last month. Only Carlton Cole (14) and Paolo Di Canio (11) have scored more goals in Premier League London derbies for West Ham.<

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