SATURDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Saturday’s five games with a recommended BETDAQ bet. The action includes champions Man City taking on Newcastle at 8pm.
FULHAM V BRENTFORD
3pm Another massive Premier League Saturday rolls around, and we have a cracking day ahead on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. We don’t have an early kick off this week, so we begin the action with three games at 3pm. We start with the most open market of the day As Fulham host Brentford – we have a lot of competitive markets on Saturday, especially Spurs against Man United later – but this is the most even market with Brentford marginally favourites at 2.7 while Fulham trade 2.84. Both sides would have been delighted with their results on the opening weekend – Fulham grinded out a 1-0 win away to Everton while Brentford picked up a draw against Spurs. Brentford were definitely the more entertaining to watch in the 2-2 draw compared to Fulham’s 1-0 win, and that’s usually the case with Brentford. They were one of the most entertaining sides to watch last season with an average xG created of 1.8 and an average conceded of 1.6. They finished the season with an average xG of 3.3 per game that they were involved in. Fulham actually finished with the same figure of 3.3, so we could have a great game here.
Fulham were very lucky to win last weekend if you look at the xG figures – however that is a similar story from last season. They conceded an average xG of 1.9 and were very dodgy at the back, but they basically “got away” with it and managed to get plenty of results. Once again last weekend they created little and conceded a much higher xG figure than they created but pulled off a win! It’s not a surprise to see Brentford as favourites here, and to be honest I couldn’t put anyone off the 2.7 available. I’d have Brentford trading a little shorter than that. However, this game absolutely screams goals in my opinion and Over 2.5 goals looks a stand out bet at 1.98. I have to say I expected it to be trading much lower when I clicked into the market, and I feel we’re getting so much value here it’s worth the first Max Bet of the season.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/FulBrt
LIVERPOOL V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm We have the shortest price of the weekend next as Liverpool host Bournemouth. Klopp’s men had to settle for a draw on the opening weekend against Chelsea; not a bad result considering they were away from home against a Chelsea side with a new manager full of hope at the start of the season. Bournemouth will be hoping for a better outcome than the 9-0 loss here last season! That being said, Bournemouth got their revenge with a hard fought 1-0 win when they had home advantage later in the season. Maybe that 9-0 loss for Bournemouth was a positive long-term as it caused changes at the club, and then of course they eventually stayed up. There’s a huge gulf in class between the sides here though, and it’s very hard to see past Liverpool winning here. They are very short at 1.25 so we won’t get rich backing them, but I couldn’t put anyone off including them in your weekend Acca. They started the season in good form, and they should blow Bournemouth away here to be honest.
I feel this is a case of how many goals can Liverpool score rather than will they win, and we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. Liverpool have a great record against Bournemouth, winning 12 of the 15 Premier League meetings. Obviously there are a lot of goal options here – Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.4 with Liverpool expected to score plenty, and the 1.68 on Liverpool to cover the 1.5 goal Handicap offers more value in my opinion. Another option to consider is Both Teams Not To Score at 2.05. I know Liverpool were very poor at the back last season, but Bournemouth were just as bad going forward. They created a very low average xG figure over the course of the season, and the 2.05 on essentially a Liverpool clean sheet looks good value to me. It’s not one to go mad with the staking because Liverpool do have issues at the back, but it’s too big to ignore.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 2.05 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivBrn
WOLVES V BRIGHTON
3pm We finish the 3pm games with Wolves hosting Brighton. Despite losing on Monday Night Football to Manchester United, Wolves will be reasonably pleased with their performance at Old Trafford. Referee decisions totally went against them, and you could argue that they deserved a draw. The officials from that game have been benched for this weekend. Brighton ran out 4-1 winners against Luton Town in an impressive display, but this is definitely more of a test and a good guide where Brighton will stand this season. I would expect Luton Town to get a few beatings away from home this season. Brighton dished out a 6-0 hammering from Wolves when they had home advantage last season, and won an entertaining 3-2 game here too. We usually have an entertaining game between these two – only once have we saw Under 2.5 goals from the last six Premier League meetings. Brighton are an attacking side who like to play an open game, so they are usually a good team to watch.
I have to say I was pretty worried about Wolves this season before seeing their opening performance at Old Trafford. However, their problems up front won’t go away quickly. They scored less than a goal per game last season, and their xG created was barely over an average of 1.0. Add that to the fact that they were conceding an average xG of 1.7 and you have problems! Over 2.5 goals always had to be on the list when Brighton play because their average xG per game they were involved in last season was 3.5 – that’s trading 1.79 here but I have to say, although I wouldn’t put anyone off Overs, the 2.0 on Brighton looks a cracking bet here. They have been fantastic for a while now, and they finished in the Top Four on the away form table last season too. I think the 2.0 is worth a confident bet.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Brighton to beat Wolves at 2.0 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WolBha
TOTTENHAM V MANCHESTER UNITED
5.30pm Drama at Spurs, drama involving Man United – surely we get a cracker here? There never seems to be a dull moment with these two clubs. We actually have two fantastic fixtures to finish Saturday with this fixture and then Man City hosting Newcastle later. United will count themselves lucky to win their opening fixture as there was a lot of luck in the referee decision – the officials even got stood down for this weekend. On the face of it, they were always “likely” to win at home against Wolves – the real test is this fixture and the upcoming away game to Arsenal. After those two games we’ll really see where United will stand this season. Perhaps they will come up short against Arsenal, but they really should be beating this Spurs side if they want to finish in the Top Four this season, and as some people say challenge for the Premier League title. Spurs began life without Harry Kane with a 2-2 draw against Brentford. It was entertaining, but it was classic Spurs – they just give away too many chances and sloppy goals.
Spurs won’t be too unhappy with the performance, but they just really need to be more switched on at the back. It will be very interesting to see what tactics Erik ten Hag employs here with his United side – you get the feeling that if United attack them they will have a lot of success. But in a big game away from home, I feel United will be a little cagey. Under 2.5 goals is trading as big as 2.48, so the market is expecting an open game. It’s easy to see why considering Spurs play such an end-to-end game. We have an open match odds market, with United the favourites at 2.44 – Spurs are 3.0 and the draw is 3.85. I have to say although Overs in rightfully favourite, I wouldn’t have it as short as 1.61 – I feel there’s value in Under 2.5 goals here at 2.48. I expect United to put in a cagey performance like they did against Wolves, and while I fully accept Spurs make a lot of mistakes at the back they will be less of a force going forward now in big games without Kane. Everyone is expecting goals, I feel the value is going against the crowd.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.48 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/TtmMun
MANCHESTER CITY V NEWCASTLE
8pm We finish a brilliant Saturday with Manchester City hosting Newcastle. It’s already been a busy season for City as they opened the season with the Community Shield and then they also played in the UEFA Super Cup on Wednesday night against Sevilla. Newcastle were fantastic last season, and their stats back up just how good they were. They were excellent going forward and solid at the back – fully deserving of their spot in the Top Four. It shows that the market appreciates Newcastle’s form because we don’t usually see City trading 1.7 at home. Even though Manchester United ended up finishing ahead of Newcastle last season, City have been starting at much shorter prices to beat United with home advantage recently. Early in the season, Newcastle should be a good test for City but it is hard to see past the home win here. I’m not thinking about laying the 1.7 anyway; if anything it looks like a good value bet to me. Newcastle started their season on fire by smashing Aston Villa 5-1 with home advantage, but this is a completely different level now.
I feel it’s hard to get away from City at the odds here, but it’s also definitely worth considering Over 2.5 goals at 1.76 six ticks bigger than the City price. City finished last season with an average xG created of 2.3 while Newcastle’s was an impressive 2.1 too. Both sides were also solid at the back with average xG’s conceded of close to 1.0. City won their last home Premier League game against Newcastle here last season 2-0, but we usually see goals between these two – the four meetings before that had Over 2.5 goals. I couldn’t put anyone off the Overs, but City have been so impressive lately and they do have an excellent record against Newcastle. I think the 1.7 is too big to ignore, and it’s worth a confident bet to finish the day. What a day we have to enjoy though!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Manchester City to beat Newcastle at 1.7 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MciNwc
