THE STRIKER: previews Sunday’s second FA Cup semi-final between LEICESTER v SOUTHAMPTON with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet. The winner meets Chelsea in the final.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
LEICESTER V SOUTHAMPTON
6.30pm The Chelsea v Man City Semi-Final on Saturday might have been more talked about, but I find this fixture fascinating. An FA Cup Final appearance would be massive for both sides, and would give Leicester a real boost towards the end of the season after having such a poor finish to last season. I feel like they will meet Southampton at a very good time, and I have to say it’s hard to get away from the Leicester win at 1.93 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
Leicester are having a fantastic season in the Premier League as they started the weekend in third place. However, two recent losses have put them under pressure for the Top Four race, especially with Chelsea and Liverpool chasing with West Ham starting the weekend in fourth position. Those two losses came against Man City and West Ham though, and although the West Ham loss might have been a little disappointing – the Hammers are playing excellent football at the moment and you can forgive any side a loss to Man City.
When you look at the xG figures, I feel there is a clear winner here. I would be very surprised to see Southampton get a result here, as they come into the game in terrible form. I know the change in competition can bring a better performance and perhaps you could say the same about a visit to Wembley, but Southampton are playing average football at the moment.
They lost 3-0 to West Brom last weekend, and although they beat Burnley 3-2 I would be more worried about them conceding twice against a very poor Burnley side. They haven’t been playing terribly, but they do lack a spark and they have been losing tight games too. I know Leicester lost a tight game to West Ham but that was a quality fixture between two good sides, Southampton have been losing to West Brom, Brighton, Everton, Wolves and Newcastle since February. I can only see one winner here and Leicester look at least ten ticks too big for me at 1.93. It’s not quite a Max Bet, but it’s a very confident selection.
The Striker Says:
Four points win Leicester to beat Southampton at 1.93 with with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlcrsou
MATCH STATS
- Southampton have won their last two FA Cup meetings with Leicester, beating them 1-0 in January 2006 and 2-0 in January 2008.
- Leicester beat Southampton 2-0 in the Premier League earlier this season – they’ve not beaten the Saints twice in the same season since the 2011-12 Championship campaign.
- This is Leicester’s eighth FA Cup semi-final (W4 L3), and first since 1982 when they lost 2-0 to eventual winners Tottenham Hotspur.
- Having won two of their first three FA Cup semi-final ties between 1898 and 1902, Southampton have progressed from just two of their subsequent nine such matches (1976 and 2003).
- Leicester have lost all three of their matches at the new Wembley Stadium, with their last victory at Wembley coming in the 2000 League Cup final against Tranmere (2-1).
- Southampton are yet to concede a goal in this season’s FA Cup – they could become the first team to reach the final of the competition without conceding since Everton did so in 1965-66.
- Since winning the Football League Trophy final in 2010, Southampton have lost each of their last four games at Wembley Stadium, including an FA Cup semi-final defeat to Chelsea in 2018.
- Jamie Vardy has scored in all three of his appearances at Wembley Stadium for Leicester, with the striker responsible for four of the Foxes’ six goals scored at the ground since its reopening.
- Since the start of the 2015-16 season, Leicester’s Kelechi Iheanacho has scored more FA Cup goals than any other player (13), with the Nigerian scoring on average once every 78 minutes in the competition.
- Southampton’s Nathan Redmond has been involved in seven goals in his last six FA Cup appearances, scoring five and assisting two.
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