PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews MANCHESTER CITY v LIVERPOOL with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER CITY V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm It’s a massive Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! There was never any doubt what would be the fixture taking the prime time Super Sunday slot this weekend – Manchester City host Liverpool in what is the biggest game of the season thus far. Arsenal come into this weekend with a six point advantage over Manchester City and seven over Liverpool; whoever wins here will become the main challenger to Arsenal – the loser quite possibly too far back.
If you were to believe the betting markets – both clubs have their hands full chasing Arsenal. With Arsenal playing Sunderland on Saturday too, they could easily have a nine point advantage by the time these two kick off. No prizes for what Arsenal fans want here; a draw would be a superb result for the Gunners. Manchester City come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.95 with Liverpool 4.0 and the draw is 4.1 at the time of writing.
Both sides have clearly not been at their best this season – obviously Manchester City are going through a transition period but they are on a lot more solid ground compared to last season. Arne Slot hasn’t found life as easy this season – four straight losses in the Premier League has given them a huge amount of work to do. Arsenal were criticised last season for being boring, but with everyone dropping points around them, that has been the way to success this season. Arsenal have an average xG conceded of 0.85; neither of these are living with that.
I don’t think it’s being too dramatic to call this a must win game for both sides. Obviously Arsenal have to deal with the pressure of a title run-in, but someone has to be close to them to put them under pressure. We should have an entertaining game here – despite all the losses, Liverpool have the best attacking figure in the Premier League this season. The issues have come at the back. City have the fifth best attacking figure this season – their average xG created is 1.63 and that would have been around 2.0 when they were at their best.
I know Liverpool have been a little sloppy at the back, but they did manage to keep a clean sheet midweek in the Champions League against Real Madrid – no mean feat. I have to say, there’s very little between the sides here – obviously City have put themselves in a position to challenge, and they have the second best defensive figure in the Premier League but Liverpool have been better going forward. I was slightly surprised to see City trading as odds on favourites when I clicked into the market here.
I know Liverpool have had their issues this season, City have home advantage and have been better at the back. However, I still feel that the 1.95 is much too short on City here. I expect Liverpool to make the game closer than those odds suggest, and from a value point of view I’m happy with a City lay at the odds.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Manchester City to beat Liverpool at 1.95 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLMcLi
