SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews EVERTON v ASTON VILLA and MAN U v SPURS both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
EVERTON V ASTON VILLA
2pm It might be the Premier League Winter Break, but we have a fantastic Super Sunday on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We have two intriguing clashes ahead – no doubt Manchester United v Spurs will take all the headlines but we start the day with a very interesting clash as Everton host Aston Villa. With Liverpool not playing this weekend, Aston Villa have a chance to match them at the top of the table on 45 points. Of course, Villa have already fluffed their lines when they had a chance to go top – they failed to beat Sheffield United at home which has to be their most disappointing result of the season! Not only that, but they followed that up with a 3-2 loss away to Manchester United after being 2-0 up – bitterly disappointing given United haven’t been that good this season at Old Trafford. Still, for the time being at least Aston Villa can consider themselves to be in the title race which is a remarkable achieve in itself. Let’s not forget they were closer to the relegation battle when Unai Emery took over, now they have a superb chance of Champions League football – you’d expect Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal to take three spots so the final spot will be between Villa and Spurs.
Everton have been fantastic at home this season, so this should be a very interesting game. We have a very open market too. Aston Villa are the favourites at 2.5 with Everton 2.98 and the draw is 3.7. It would be a massive shock if Everton went down this season, but you’d have to say that they are in the relegation race at the moment given where they are in the table. Their xG figures are very good, and you’d expect them to survive even with the ten point deduction. At home this season, Everton have an average xG created of 1.67 which is impressive given their level over the last two seasons. They have improved markedly under Sean Dyche. While Aston Villa are obviously have an excellent season, they have been conceding more chances away from home. There’s only 0.04 xG between their chances created and chances conceded. Everything points to a very close game here, and the 2.5 on Villa feels a little short. I think the draw price offers a lot of value at 3.7 – I know Everton have put together three losses, but the home game was against Man City and in general they have been very solid here all season. The 3.7 looks like a nice position.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.7 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EveAvl
MANCHESTER UNITED V TOTTENHAM
4.30pm We finish the weekend with the highlight fixture of the Premier League weekend as Manchester United host Spurs. Both sides have been on the rollercoaster this season, but what is new with these clubs? Spurs started the season on fire, and after hitting a bump in the road with five wins without a game – including four losses – I think Ange Postecoglou handled the situation very well. He seems an excellent fit for Spurs – to be honest drama is never far away with Spurs. However, Postecoglou has them playing some excellent attacking football. Their average xG created is as high as 1.8 this season, that’s the fourth best figure in the Premier League. The three sides above them are Liverpool, Man City and Arsenal – as I said above you’d expect the three of them to take three of the top four spots and then it’s between Aston Villa and Spurs for the last Champions League spot. Unfortunately for Manchester United fans, hopes of Champions League football for them are already gone this season. They are nine points behind Arsenal in fourth, and they just haven’t been playing good enough to close that gap. They are marginally conceding more chances than they are creating this season too. There’s only 0.06 in the difference, but an average xG conceded of 1.54 is very high for a club like Manchester United. That’s lower end of mid-table form.
I have to say I was a little surprised to see United trading as short as 2.3 when I clicked into the market. Spurs are 3.1 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. It’s going to be very difficult to get away from the United lay at 2.3 here – I just expect a closer game than those odds suggest. United haven’t exactly been firing at home too – they have made hard work of beating average sides and conceded a lot of goals. Spurs do concede sloppy goals too, but at least they are scoring goals. Spurs are scoring over two goals per game on average, while for United it’s only a little over one. That’s been a major issue for Erik ten Hag this season, United aren’t creating a huge amount – their average xG created of 1.48 is mid-table level but they aren’t even converting those chances. If they are toothless up front, and conceding sloppy goals that’s just a road to disaster. Spurs aren’t a side to massively trust, but the 2.3 is far too short on United and I’m very happy with the lay – I just won’t go crazy with the stakes; three points feels the right stake.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Manchester United to beat Tottenham at 2.3 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MunTtm
