SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Sunday’s games between SHEFFIELD UNITED v WEST HAM and BOURNEMOUTH v LIVERPOOL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
SHEFFIELD UNITED V WEST HAM
2pm The Premier League action continues on Sunday with two fixtures on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as we come to the end of the Winter Break. All eyes will no doubt be on table toppers Liverpool later, but we do have two interesting markets and we start the day with Sheffield United hosting West Ham. Most football fans could be forgiven for thinking that this will be an easy win for West Ham, but David Moyes men have been massively over-performing this season. Their average xG created is only 1.13 but their actual goals scored works out at 1.65, while their average xG conceded is 1.77 and again their actual figure is under that at 1.5. Eventually they will stop scoring from awkward angles and teams will start taking all their chances against them; that’s just probability. Even with some major red flags in the West Ham performance levels, they are unlikely to be challenged too hard by Sheffield United who are the worst side in the Premier League. They sit nailed to the bottom of the table, a change in manager hasn’t really changed much and they are pretty much certain to go back down to the Championship now.
West Ham come into the game as the favourites, but they aren’t trading odds on. The Hammers are 2.28 at the time of writing with Sheffield United 3.55 and the draw is 3.45. It’s a sign of how poor West Ham have been playing this season that they are trading as high as 2.28 to beat Sheffield United – but you do have to give West Ham massive credit for grinding out as many results as they have had. It’s remarkable that they start the weekend sitting in sixth – their average xG created is the fifth worst attacking figure while their average xG conceded is the third worst defensive figure – talk about over-performing! David Moyes couldn’t sign a new contract quick enough – although he did deserve one after the Europa Conference League win in fairness. West Ham are the biggest over-performing side in the Premier League side season, and they face the worst performing side in Europe. Sheffield United have an overall performance figure of -1.10; that’s the worst performance level from the major European leagues. I don’t trust this West Ham side, but at 2.28 they are worth backing to beat a very poor Sheffield United. Obviously West Ham are playing with confidence and getting results, they deserve credit for that and can get the job done here.
The Striker Says:
One point win West Ham to beat Sheffield United at 2.28 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/SheWhu
BOURNEMOUTH V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm Premier League leaders Liverpool are in action next as they take on Bournemouth in the prime Sunday afternoon TV slot. Bournemouth’s incredible run of results came to an end on New Year’s Eve as they lost 3-1 away to Spurs. Prior to that result they had gone seven games unbeaten, including six wins. They managed wins over Newcastle and Manchester United in that run too. Absolutely no talk of them being in the relegation battle this season, even if they were mentioned in the conversation at the start of the season. Liverpool are in a very good position in the title race, but obviously the next few weeks is going to be difficult for them with the AFCON on. Losing Mo Salah is clearly a massive blow, and Klopp will be just hoping to get through this period and hopefully manage to stay at the top of the table. With Kevin De Bruyne coming back for Manchester City, that might not be the case. Liverpool come into this game as the odds on favourites, but there are plenty of willing layers too. The away win is trading 1.76 with Bournemouth 4.7 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing.
With Liverpool missing key players, they will no doubt have to change their system a little. You can’t replace a player like Salah! Liverpool have been exceptional going forward this season; their average xG created is 2.10 which is marginally the best attacking figure in the Premier League this season – just a little over Manchester City. Liverpool have been conceding more chances than the likes of City and Arsenal, but they have always had issues at the back. They seem to have Virgil van Dijk back to his best at the moment though! Bournemouth have been getting a lot of good results, but they also have been given away a lot of chances and goals this season. Obviously I do have concerns with Liverpool, but overall they have been excellent this season and the 1.76 makes a lot of appeal here. I’m just happy to use reduced stakes for the time being – however if we see a confident Liverpool performance here that will be a very good sign for them over the next few weeks.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool to beat Bournemouth at 1.76 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BneLiv
