SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Burnley v Bournemouth and the Manchester derby Man C v Man U at 3.30pm both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BURNLEY V BOURNEMOUTH
1pm It’s a blockbuster Super Sunday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange headlined by the Manchester Derby! We have an earlier than usual start with Burnley hosting Bournemouth at 1pm, fixtures brought forward today with the idea of the Manchester Derby kicking off earlier. That’s usually a police request. Burnley v Bournemouth isn’t exactly the more glamorous start, but it’s a nice feeder game before the big one. Burnley have been very poor this season, and they are pretty much nailed on to go down now. Bournemouth come into the game as the favourites at 2.0 with Burnley 3.95 and the draw is also 3.95 at the time of writing. You could say the most surprising thing about Burnley this season is that Vincent Kompany is still manager – they’ve only managed 13 points this season, started the weekend seven points off Luton Town who were still in the relegation zone and their average xG created is only 0.91. Only Sheffield United have created less. I know they completely bossed the Championship under Kompany, but they’ve been completely exposed at Premier League level. Perhaps you give the board credit in a trigger happy era of management decisions, but there isn’t anything positive to say about Burnley this season.
Being at home is hardly a positive for Burnley here either – they have only managed five points at home all season which is the worst home record in the Premier League. Bournemouth aren’t exactly a side that you would usually back at 2.0 – in fairness it would be very rare that they trade that short especially away from home, but it’s hard to see past an away win here. Both sides have been poor at the back this season – Bournemouth have been playing a very open game – but at least they have created a lot more compared to Burnley. In an average game, likely with plenty of mistakes at the back too, I feel Bournemouth will out gun Burnley and they are worth backing at 2.0. Over 2.5 goals is trading odds on at 1.77 and while that might be a nice option, I’m not sure I fancy Burnley to chip in there. Obviously they have a very poor record at the back, an average xG of under 1.0 and they also haven’t been scoring many goals lately. The Bournemouth bet at 2.0 is a much better option.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Bournemouth to beat Burnley at 2.0 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BrnBou
MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UNITED
3.30pm The Manchester Derby takes up the prime TV slot this Super Sunday, except we push the kick off time an hour forward. Usually billed as one of the top games of the season, it’s becoming less and less competitive given the gulf in class between the sides. Manchester United have been all over the place this season, and it’s fair to say anything bar a City win here would be a shock to be honest. City come into the game as the red-hot favourites, they are trading as short as 1.3 at the time of writing with United 11.5 and the draw is 6.8. Even when United dominated the Premier League, they weren’t as short as 1.3 at home to beat City! The gulf in class between the sides is huge these days, and with United conceding so many chances these days it’s a case of how many goals can City score here rather than will the win. That’s not even considering the fact Erling Haaland is in superb goal scoring form too! City have an average xG created of 2.16 this season, which is the best attacking figure in the Premier League – United have an average xG conceded of 1.61 and that increases to 1.77 away from home. This could be a bloodbath. It’s the type of game that could easily set off the alarm bells ringing about what Sir Jim Ratcliffe is going to do with Erik ten Hag.
Just when you thought United were picking up some good momentum and possible could challenge for a Top Four spot again given Aston Villa and Spurs had dropped points, they lose last weekend at home to Fulham. It’s worth mentioning that prior to that game, Fulham had one of the worst away records this season in the Premier League too. That’s just been a case of classic United since Sir Alex Ferguson left – you think they’ve turned a corner but really it’s just a case of how long before the horror show comes along. If City score early you get the feeling that this could be a bloodbath, and it will be interesting to see do some of the United players give up in the second half too – we’ve saw that from this squad over the last few seasons. City have beaten United 3-0, 6-3 and 4-1 recently. They are trading 1.74 to cover the 1.5 goal Handicap and I feel that looks fantastic value here. United are conceding close to two goals per game on their xG figures with City creating over that – with United having so many issues in midfield and at the back, City seem the perfect side to expose those. I feel we’re getting so much value at 1.74 and this should be such a one sided game that it’s worth a Max Bet.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Manchester City -1.5 goals to beat Manchester United at 1.74 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MncMnu
