PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews WOLVES v MAN CITY and LIVERPOOL v CHELSEA both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WOLVES V MANCHESTER CITY
2pm It’s a massive Super Sunday in the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. No doubt all eyes will be on the huge clash between Liverpool and Chelsea in the prime time TV slot, but Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City open the action away to Wolves. Although City have been playing superb football (when do they not), they have dropped a few sloppy points already this season. You can easily forgive them the draw at home to Arsenal, but they should be winning away to Newcastle given that Newcastle haven’t been playing that well at the start of the season. City have made a habit of giving away sloppy points towards the start of the season before finishing strongly, we’ll probably see the same thing again this season – although obviously they have the 115 charges hanging over them and who knows what might actually happen in that regard this season. They start this weekend one point behind Liverpool at the top of the table, but today could be a big day at the top of the table obviously. You’d have to expect City to notch up a win here – anything bar a City win would be a big surprise to be honest and they come into the game as the red-hot favourites, no surprises there.
Manchester City are trading 1.34 with Wolves 10.0 and the draw is 6.4 at the time of writing. That 1.34 is the shortest price in the Premier League this weekend; not surprising with Arsenal away and Liverpool having to play Chelsea. It’s hard to find fault with City on the pitch this season – their stats are incredible. Their average xG created is 2.13, the best in the Premier League and their defensive figure is also the best in the Premier League – at the moment the only side conceding an average xG under 1.0 this season. Arsenal are the current favourites to lift the title coming into this weekend, but that definitely has the courtroom battle factored in because on the pitch City are miles ahead. I feel this is a case of how many goals will they score rather than will they win – Wolves have really struggled at the start of the season and they sit rock bottom with only one point. Their stats aren’t that bad considering where they are, so they do have a good chance at getting themselves out of trouble but they need to sort out the issues at the back – they have the fourth worst defensive figure at the moment. City can cover the handicap here in my opinion, and I’m happy with 1.89 -1.5 goals.
The Striker Says:
One point win Manchester City -1.5 goals to beat Wolves at 1.89 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WlvMnc
LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA
4.30pm What a fixture for the prime time TV slot on Super Sunday! Liverpool host Chelsea in what should be a fascinating game between two sides who have started the season really well. Liverpool come into the weekend sitting top of the table, and it’s been a case of so far so good for Arne Slot in charge; apart from the shock loss to Nottingham Forest here which came from nowhere to be honest! Chelsea had a lot of negativity around the club coming into this season, but they are probably proof that once you start winning football matches, all the negative off field stuff just goes away. They have Cole Palmer to thank for that! They still bought a tonne of players during the summer, and we do know how trigger happy they can be with managers – Chelsea are doing well, but the jury is always out. Liverpool come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.74 with Chelsea 5.0 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. It will be fascinating to see how Chelsea perform here; obviously they have been on a good run but they have had a reasonably easy fixture list. Beating Brighton 4-2 was their highlight, but they were comfortably beaten by Man City on the opening weekend.
Wins over Wolves, Bournemouth and West Ham along with draws against Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest is a fixture list not to get carried away with. I think the biggest worry from a Chelsea point of view is having an average xG conceded of 1.5 having had that fixture list outside of Man City – that is very high considering they have played a lot of lower quality sides. On pure numbers, Liverpool are better in every area – their average xG created is 1.71 compared to Chelsea at 1.54 and Liverpool are only conceding an average xG of 1.12 which is very impressive. As I said before, if Arne Slot can fix the issues Liverpool have had at the back while keeping the attacking flare then they will quickly challenge for the title. With both sides in great form in front of goal, obviously Over 2.5 goals will be a popular bet at 1.47. That price doesn’t make as much appeal as the Liverpool win in my opinion – I feel the best value option here is the home win. Chelsea are conceding a lot of chances, and they come up against one of the best attacking sides in Europe here – I’m very happy with the 1.74 on Liverpool.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 1.74 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivChl