PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews LIVERPOOL V WEST HAM and NEWCASTLE V MANCHESTER UNITED both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LIVERPOOL V WEST HAM
2pm We have another fascinating Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! No doubt all eyes will be on Newcastle hosting Manchester United as the highlight fixture in the prime time TV slot, but we start the day with three games kicking off at 2pm. Liverpool v West Ham is the pick of them in my opinion, especially after Liverpool host to Fulham last weekend. Depending on the Arsenal result against Brentford on Saturday evening, the door still be a little ajar after the Fulham loss, but it would take a total collapse from Liverpool to give Arsenal any chance – I just can’t see it happening. The market is confident on Liverpool getting back to winning ways, and they come into the game as the red-hot favourites. Liverpool are trading 1.33 with West Ham 10.5 and the draw is 6.2 at the time of writing. West Ham have had a difficult season – they’ve got a great manager in the shape of Graham Potter, but he hasn’t quite made an impact yet – like David Moyes did when he came in at Everton. The most interesting thing is how much do the board back Potter in the transfer market this summer.
It’s hard to see past the Liverpool win here, and with Arne Slot’s men trading as short as 1.33 we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. I do feel this is about how many goals Liverpool can score rather than will they win. West Ham’s main issue for a number of seasons now has been at the back – they have an average xG conceded of 1.68 which is in the bottom five defensive figures this season. Not only that, but they are also in the bottom five attacking figures too. They’ve been struggling to convert those limited chances too; Both Teams Not To Score is an appealing bet at 1.94 given how limited the Hammers have been going forward, plus Arne Slot has really solved the Liverpool issues at the back this season. With the volume of chances West Ham have been conceding this season, another solid option is Liverpool to cover the 1.5 goal handicap at 1.9. There’s only four ticks between the prices so I really couldn’t put anyone off either option – however, I marginally prefer the handicap option at the odds.
The Striker Says: Two points win Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat West Ham at 1.9 with Betdaq Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivWhm
NEWCASTLE V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm We finish Super Sunday with Newcastle hosting Manchester United in the prime time TV slot! There’s nothing to achieve for United in the Premier League now – that’s been the case for a while now – and it’s easy to understand why their focus might be on the Europa League Quarter-Final which they are in the middle of. You could say the United squad will be going through the motions here; but in fairness you could say that about some of the squad for years now! It’s a much more important game for Newcastle who are still in the Top Four race. They come into the weekend sitting in fifth, level on points with Chelsea – Newcastle fans will be glued to the TV on Saturday as Manchester City and Aston Villa play – by kick off they’ll know where they stand. Given how poor United have been this season, it’s not surprise to see Newcastle come into the game as the odds on favourites. Newcastle are trading 1.66 with Manchester United 5.6 and the draw is 4.5 at the time of writing. United had a rollercoaster in the Europa League on Thursday night, but a 2-2 draw wasn’t the worst result in the end.
Newcastle have had more time to focus on this game, and as I said it’s a far more important game for them. Ironically; both sides have a very similar profile on paper this season but United just haven’t been getting the job done. There’s only 0.01 between the sides on xG figures going forward – Newcastle have a figure of 1.49 but are over-performing because their actual average is 1.73. United have a figure of 1.5 but are massively under-performing with an actual figure of 1.19. Newcastle are actually conceding more chances than United this season too; but they are over-performing at the back as well. There really isn’t much between the sides on paper, but obviously this fixture falls at a good time for Newcastle given the European commitments for United. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market with that in mind, and this game screams goals in my opinion – Over 2.5 goals looks a cracking bet at 1.7 in what should be an open and entertaining game. Plus a mistake at the back is never far away!
The Striker Says: Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 with Betdaq Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NwcMnu
