THE STRIKER: previews the two Premier League matches on Sunday starting with NEWCASTLE v LEICESTER at 2.15pm followed by the highlight of the weekend CHELSEA v MAN CITY at 4.30pm. Both previews include extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
NEWCASTLE V LEICESTER
2.15pm It’s now the first match on Sunday after Burnley v Fulham has been postponed. An interesting game, and one in which Leicester should win. Can they claim the three points though? They lost ground at the top of the table with a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace on Monday. However, the performance wasn’t bad – they won on xG 1.93 to 0.41 – it was just one of those games. I’ve said similar about Man United this season in the sense that Leicester aren’t playing like title challengers but they are bang there with everyone else dropping points. If they have any hope of actually lifting the title, they simply have to win games like this. Newcastle have improved from last season, but they are still a poor side.
Newcastle did manage to hold Liverpool to a 0-0 draw here on Wednesday however, keeping Liverpool down to an xG of 1.47. Liverpool fans will say they were unlucky not to score, and they are right. Leicester have been playing some good football recently, and we know that Newcastle give up a lot of chances – if Leicester play their normal attacking game then this should be a straightforward win for them. I wouldn’t go mad about it, but the 1.7 is worth backing and including in any BETDAQ Multiples today.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Leicester to beat Newcastle at 1.7 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnwclei
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle have lost seven of their last nine Premier League meetings with Leicester (W2), losing both against the Foxes in 2019-20 by an aggregate score of 0-8.
- Leicester have won their last four Premier League away games against Newcastle, keeping three clean sheets in this run. Only at West Brom (5) have they won more consecutive away games in the competition.
- Newcastle have lost their first league game in six of the last eight calendar years (W1 D1), including a 0-3 home defeat to Leicester in their first game of 2020.
- Leicester haven’t lost their first league game in any of the last 12 calendar years (W8 D4), since losing 1-3 at QPR in 2008. The Foxes have kept a clean sheet in each of their last five such games, winning the last three in a row.
- Newcastle United won their last Premier League game played on Sunday, beating Everton 2-1 in November – the Magpies haven’t won consecutive Sunday games in the competition since a run of three in May 2018 (winning vs Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea).
- After drawing none of their last 18 Premier League games, Leicester’s last two in the competition have ended level with the Foxes coming from behind both times.
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce hasn’t won any of his seven home meetings with Leicester in all competitions (D4 L3) – the Foxes are the only side he’s faced more than twice at home without ever winning in his managerial career.
- Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has been involved in six goals in his last seven Premier League games against Newcastle, scoring five and assisting one. His two strikes at St James’ Park have been the opening goal of the game.
- Ryan Fraser is one of three current Newcastle players to have scored at least twice in their career against Leicester in the Premier League (also Andy Carroll and Callum Wilson), while the winger has had a hand in four goals in his last three appearances against the Foxes (two goals, two assists).
- Leicester’s Harvey Barnes has scored eight goals in 21 appearances in all competitions this season, one more than he did in 42 games last term. Only in 2018-19 (10) has the midfielder netted more goals in all competitions across a single campaign.
CHELSEA V MANCHESTER CITY
4.30pm The highlight of the weekend, and so many talking points. As I type now there is a doubt of the game actually going ahead. Five of Man City’s players are self-isolating because of Covid19 after their game against Everton was postponed. Guardiola confirmed Kyle Walker and Gabriel Jesus had tested positive on Christmas Day. To add even more uncertainly, Lampard said two backroom staff had also tested positive but that the plan was for the game to go ahead. As we have seen the games get postponed very late, which is fine considering there is no traveling fans. I have to say, it all makes for a fascinating clash especially considering the position of both sides in the table.
With Liverpool dropping points, two wins for City in their games in hand would put them one point behind Liverpool which is remarkable given the disappointing results they have already had. Chelsea started the season brightly, but they have fallen away with losses against Everton, Wolves and Arsenal including a draw against Aston Villa on Monday. Lampard needs a win to steady the ship and get them back into the mix. You’d have to say given the Covid19 situation at City, this is an excellent chance for Chelsea to win. City haven’t been themselves this season – they haven’t created the same volume of chances and they have conceded too many goals. I think this is a good time to back Chelsea at 3.25 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange which looks too big in what should be a very close game. I might regret not laying City instead, but I’m happy to take a chance on Chelsea.
The Striker Says:
One point win Chelsea to beat Man City at 3.25 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchemnc
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won their last two Premier League home games against Manchester City, last winning more consecutively against them at Stamford Bridge between 2006-2009 (4).
- Man City have only failed to score in one of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Chelsea (0-2 in December 2018), with the Citizens also keeping five clean sheets in this run.
- None of the last 10 Premier League meetings between Chelsea (4 wins) and Man City (6 wins) have finished level, with the home side winning each of the last five in the competition.
- Chelsea have failed to win their first Premier League game in each of the last four calendar years (D3 L1), since winning 3-0 at Crystal Palace in 2016.
- Manchester City have won their first league game in 13 of the last 14 calendar years (L1), winning each of the last eight in a row since a 0-1 loss at Sunderland in 2012.
- Manchester City have lost three of their last four Premier League games in London (D1), as many as they had in their first 19 league visits to the capital under manager Pep Guardiola (W14 D2 L3).
- Frank Lampard has averaged 1.70 points per game as Chelsea manager, the same record as André Villas-Boas at the club in the Premier League. Of all Chelsea managers to have taken charge of 20+ Premier League games, only Glenn Hoddle (1.27), Ian Porterfield (1.28) and Ruud Gullit (1.65) have a lower such ratio for the Blues.
- Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne scored home and away against Chelsea in the Premier League last season – the last City player to score in three consecutive league games against Chelsea was Carlos Tevez (2009-2010).
- Man City forward Sergio Aguero has scored 10 goals in his last nine appearances against Chelsea in all competitions, netting hat-tricks in this run in both April 2016 and February 2019.
- 36% of Chelsea’s Olivier Giroud’s 89 Premier League goals have been headers (32 of 89), including last time out versus Aston Villa – the Frenchman has scored more headed goals in the competition than any other player since his debut in August 2012 (32).
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