THE STRIKER: previews the Premier League games on Sunday with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets. LIVERPOOL v MAN CITY is the weekend highlight at 4.30pm.

The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.

TOTTENHAM V WEST BROM

12pm It’s another fascinating Sunday in the Premier League with some very intriguing matches. We also have some very interest markets on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, multiple narratives and many questions to be answered! Ordinarily, Spurs v West Brom would be a pretty routine game but with Kane out you can’t help but be interested. Spurs have been woeful since he was injured against Liverpool, and this is a fascinating game because West Brom have been so poor this season – however, can Spurs score and beat them? Their xG figures have been so bad since Kane was injured. 0.11 against Liverpool, 0.44 against Brighton and 0.65 against Chelsea.

Of course, the quality of opposition changes here. We know the standard of Liverpool and Chelsea, while Brighton are playing their best football of the season at the moment. Spurs face a West Brom side who have been very poor this season and have conceded a lot of chances. The big question here is can Spurs create enough to score? For me, I’m not willing to take the chance to find out at 1.51. That price is a couple of ticks too short for me, even allowing for how poor West Brom have been. West Brom give up quite a few chances, so I’m going to keep stakes to a minimum here, but I like under 2.5 goals at 2.1. We could see a very boring game here as Spurs struggle for chances.

The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.1 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotwba

MATCH STATS

  • Tottenham are looking to record their first league double over West Bromwich Albion since the 2011/12 season under manager Harry Redknapp.
  • West Brom have won just one of their last 14 away games against Spurs in all competitions (D6 L7), a 1-0 win in September 2014 at White Hart Lane.
  • Tottenham have lost just one of their last 26 Premier League home games against promoted clubs (W23 D2), going down 1-3 against Wolves in December 2018.
  • Since a 1-0 win at Crystal Palace in August 2016, West Brom are winless in their last 11 Premier League games in London (D2 L9). The Baggies have lost each of their last five top-flight games in the capital, conceding at least twice each time.
  • In the past five seasons (including 2020-21), Tottenham have lost just two of their 28 Premier League games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (W20 D6), with those defeats coming against West Brom (May 2018) and Newcastle (August 2019).
  • West Brom have conceded 26 Premier League goals in nine matches under Sam Allardyce, as many as they did in 13 games under Slaven Bilic. The record for most goals conceded in a manager’s first 10 Premier League games at a club is 28, jointly held by Danny Wilson at Barnsley (1997), Nigel Adkins at Southampton (2012) and Slavisa Jokanovic at Fulham (2018).
  • This is Spurs boss José Mourinho’s first home Premier League meeting with West Brom since April 2018 with Man Utd, losing 1-0 against the Baggies, who were bottom of the table and would go on to be relegated.
  • West Brom manager Sam Allardyce has faced José Mourinho more often without winning than any other manager in the top-flight (P12 D3 L9), while Mourinho has only faced David Moyes (13) more times without losing than his 12 games against Allardyce in the Premier League.
  • Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has been directly involved in 16 goals in his last 15 Premier League appearances against promoted sides, scoring nine and assisting seven.
  • West Brom goalkeeper Sam Johnstone conceded his 50th Premier League goal in their 2-1 defeat to Sheffield United in his 21st appearance, the joint-quickest a goalkeeper has ever conceded 50 in the competition, along with Barnsley’s David Watson in 1997/98.

WOLVES V LEICESTER

2pm Another very interesting fixture, especially from a betting point of view! Wolves have been very poor this season, but they did manage a 2-1 win over Arsenal on Tuesday. It has to be said however that Arsenal have been just as poor this season, and it’s hard to know what to read into that. They were poor against Crystal Palace and created very little against Chelsea prior to that win. Apart from a 3-1 loss against Leeds, Leicester have been in good form and they continue to just get the job done. They aren’t doing anything flashy, but they aren’t making many mistakes when everyone around them are dropping points. They’ve moved two points clear of Liverpool in third now and a win here would be massive with Liverpool having to play Man City later.

Although it’s likely that Leicester get the job done here, they are too short for me at 2.18. I would have been happy to back them at 2.36 or bigger, but I’m happy to pass on the 2.18. Leicester have been much better than Wolves this season, but I feel the 2.18 just doesn’t offer value in what could be a tricky afternoon for them. If Wolves can play like they did against Arsenal then they will give Leicester problems; it might not be enough to stop them winning, but enough to put me off 2.18. I think we’ll see a close affair here with chances at a premium – once again I like under 2.5 goals, this time at odds of 1.61. This game screams lack of chances – perhaps Leicester can win 1-0, but Wolves generally keep things tight and I don’t see Leicester giving away many chances either.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.61 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwollcr

MATCH STATS

  • Wolves have failed to score in five of their seven Premier League matches against Leicester but have won the two they have scored in by a 4-3 scoreline in both 2003/04 and 2018/19, coming from three goals down to win in October 2003.
  • Leicester have won just two of their last 19 away matches against Wolves in all competitions (D7 L10), with their last win at Molineux coming in December 2006 in a Championship meeting.
  • Wolves are looking to record consecutive Premier League victories for only the second time this season, winning against Fulham and Leeds in October.
  • Leicester have won eight of their 11 Premier League away games so far this season (D2 L1), with the Foxes only winning more on the road in a season in the competition in their title campaign of 2015-16 (11).
  • Since the start of the 2018/19 season, only Manchester United (47) and Liverpool (45) have won more points from losing positions in the Premier League than Wolves (44), who came from 1-0 down to win 2-1 against Arsenal last time out.
  • Leicester have scored with 14.6% of their shots in the Premier League this season, their highest conversion rate on record in a single campaign in the competition (since 1997-98).
  • Excluding own goals, Wolves have seen 45 goals scored by Portuguese players in the Premier League – only one fewer than has been scored by Englishmen for the club (46). The only team to have seen more goals scored by a particular non-English nation than English players in Premier League history is Arsenal (540 French, 385 English).
  • 20-year-old Pedro Neto has been involved in more Premier League goals than any other Wolves player this season (4 goals, 4 assists), though he’s failed to score in any of his last nine appearances in the competition.
  • After failing to score with any of his 54 shots in the Premier League in 2020, Wolves midfielder Rúben Neves has scored with three of his 13 attempts in 2021 (23%).
  • Leicester’s James Maddison has been directly involved in 12 goals in his last 12 games in all competitions, scoring six and assisting six. He assisted both of the Foxes’ goals against Fulham last time out, the first time he’s registered multiple assists in a Premier League game.

LIVERPOOL V MANCHESTER CITY

4.30pm Here we are, the highlight of the weekend! It wasn’t so long ago that this fixture would decide the Premier League title, but Liverpool have dropped way off the pace in recent weeks. Man City will be a rare Max Bet for me here at 2.2 as they come into this fixture in peak form, while Liverpool are really struggling. Liverpool dropped more points midweek with a 1-0 loss at home to Brighton. They have a number of injury issues at the back, but they only created an xG of 0.92 going forward to. Anyone that looks at the xG figures can see Man City have come into form at the right time, and with the fixtures coming up thick and fast; they are now running away with the title.

City put in another dominating display on Wednesday with a smooth 2-0 win over Brighton. xG had is 1.97 to 0.07 to City. 0.07 is probably the best defensive performance by any Premier League side this season, but it has been their xG figures going forward that have been very eye-catching in recent weeks. They may have started the season slowly, but they are flying now. This is the perfect time to back them too – they are in peak form and Liverpool are really struggling. I would have City odds on, and the 2.2 has to be a Max Bet!

The Striker Says:
Five points win Man City to beat Liverpool at 2.2 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivmnc

MATCH STATS

  • Liverpool have lost one of their last 29 home league matches against Manchester City (W19 D9), a 2-1 defeat in May 2003.
  • The away side has won just one of the last 24 Premier League meetings between Liverpool and Man City, with Liverpool winning 4-1 at the Etihad in November 2015.
  • Manchester City have won four of their last five league visits to the Premier League reigning champions (L1), beating Man Utd in 2011/12 and 2013/14 & Chelsea in 2015/16 and 2017/18. However, City have never won at Anfield when Liverpool have been reigning top-flight champion in 14 attempts (D4 L10).
  • Liverpool have lost each of their last two Premier League home games, having been unbeaten in 68 at Anfield before this. They’ve not lost three in a row at home in league competition since September 1963.
  • Liverpool haven’t scored in any of their last three Premier League home games, with their current goalless run at Anfield standing at 348 minutes. The Reds have never gone four consecutive home league games without scoring in their history.
  • Manchester City have won each of their last 13 games in all competitions – victory here will see them equal the record for an English top-flight club, set by Preston in January 1892 and Arsenal in November 1987.
  • Manchester City have conceded just 13 goals in 21 Premier League games this season, keeping a clean sheet in each of their last six. They’ve never previously kept seven consecutive clean sheets in the competition.
  • Man City’s Pep Guardiola has managed more league matches at Anfield without winning than any other stadium in his top-flight managerial career (4 – D1 L3). His three defeats there are his joint-most at any away stadium in top-flight league games, alongside Stamford Bridge.
  • Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp hasn’t lost three consecutive home league games since December 2013 when he was in charge of Borussia Dortmund.
  • Raheem Sterling has scored 99 goals in all competitions for Manchester City under Pep Guardiola. His next goal will see him become the third player to reach triple figures under the Spaniard, after Lionel Messi (211) and Sergio Agüero (120).

SHEFFIELD UNITED V CHELSEA

7.15pm We end the weekend with Sheffield United taking on Chelsea, in yet another interesting game today. It’s been a superb day for intrigue! This is a very similar fixture to Spurs v West Brom earlier in the day, in the sense that Chelsea are 1.48 and with so much going on at the club, the question is do you trust them enough to back them at those odds. They are unbeaten since sacking Frank Lampard, but you wouldn’t say they have turned on the style since he left. Their performance against Spurs was their most impressive to date, and Sheffield United do sit bottom of the table.

Chelsea should win here, but I’m happy to give the 1.48 a miss. Sheffield United have been putting some wins together recently and their confidence must be the highest it’s been since the start of the season. They will still get relegated given their start, but they have been playing better. The goals market interests me here, as Chelsea have been keeping things very tight at the back since sacking Lampard. Sheffield United don’t play an open game either, and I feel we’ll see a 1-0 or 2-0 Chelsea win, but Sheffield United making their life difficult. I’d much rather back under 2.5 goals at 2.0 than Chelsea at 1.48 given the way the game could pan out, and unders has to be the call at the odds.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.0 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshechl

MATCH STATS

  • Sheffield United have won three of their four home Premier League matches against Chelsea (L1), winning twice in 1993 and 3-0 last season.
  • None of the last 15 league meetings between Sheffield United and Chelsea at Bramall Lane have ended as a draw (nine Sheffield United wins, six Chelsea wins).
  • Chelsea have lost just one of their last 23 Premier League matches against sides from Yorkshire (W17 D5), though it came in their trip to Bramall Lane last season.
  • West Ham and Tottenham have already won away at Sheffield United this season – the last league campaign to see three London clubs win at Bramall Lane was back in 1990-91, with Arsenal, Crystal Palace and Wimbledon doing so.
    o Sheffield United have won five of their last seven games in all competitions (L2), as many as they did in their previous 32 (W5 D6 L21).
  • Sheffield United have won two of their last three home league games (L1), netting as many goals in these three games as they had in their previous nine at Bramall Lane (4).
  • Chelsea have won 10 of their last 12 Premier League games against sides starting the day bottom, with the exceptions being a 1-2 loss at Crystal Palace (October 2017) and a 3-3 draw with West Brom (September 2020).
  • Sheffield United striker David McGoldrick has scored in his first two Premier League starts against Chelsea, netting three goals – the last player to score in his first three Premier League starts against the Blues was Marcus Stewart in November 2001 for Ipswich Town.
  • Chelsea forward Tammy Abraham has scored four league goals in four appearances against Sheffield United, though all those goals have been scored in home games for Aston Villa (2018/19) and Chelsea (2019/20 & 2020/21).
  • Sheffield United striker Billy Sharp’s six Premier League goals have won the Blades 10 points, with his goal against West Brom his third winning goal in the space of a month in all competitions, also netting decisive goals against Newcastle and Plymouth Argyle in the FA Cup.

Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.

Bet via BETDAQ mobile below