PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews BRIGHTON v NOTTINGHAM FOREST and the weekend’s highlight MANCHESTER CITY v ARSENAL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BRIGHTON V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
2pm It’s a massive Super Sunday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! There’s no doubt that all eyes will be on the huge clash between Manchester City and Arsenal later in the prime TV slot, but we do have an interesting game to start the day too as Brighton host Nottingham Forest. Both sides have had good starts to the season as they both sit beside each other with eight points from four games. Brighton come into the game as the odds on favourites with home advantage – they are trading 1.8 with Nottingham Forest 5.0 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. Both sides have very similar performance levels too – Brighton have an average xG created of 1.62 with Nottingham Forest just behind them in that table on 1.57. Nottingham Forest have conceded more chances – their average xG conceded is 1.22 compared to Brighton at 1.05. That defensive figure for Brighton is the fourth best in the Premier League coming into this weekend, and that’s a welcome change considering how many goals they conceded last season. If they managed to sort out their issues at the back and kept creating so much, they would be a big force in the race for European spots this season.
With Nottingham Forest so close to the relegation battle for two seasons in a row now, they will be absolutely delighted with their start to the season. The win last weekend away to Liverpool was a complete bonus of course, but they played well and didn’t allow Liverpool to create much. Forest finished last season with the fifth worst attacking figure, so even though it’s early days in the season their attacking figures are very promising. Home advantage is going to be a factor for Brighton here, but I do feel that the 1.8 is a little short – I couldn’t put anyone off a small Brighton lay because I feel the match will be closer than those odds suggest. However, with both sides creating a lot of chances and either afraid of playing an open game – particularly Brighton – I like Both Teams To Score at 1.86. Over 2.5 goals is trading one tick shorter at 1.85, but I much prefer the BTTS option in what should be an entertaining game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.85 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BhaNtt
MANCHESTER CITY V ARSENAL
4.30pm The Premier League have saved the best fixture until last this weekend as Manchester City host Arsenal. It’s very early in the season, but as things stand these two sides look like the big two this season – as they have been for a while now. Manchester City have ticked all their boxes so far with Haaland in superb goal scoring form. Arsenal have dropped points with a draw at home to Brighton so there’s a two point gap at the moment. I don’t think anyone doubts that Manchester City are the best side in the Premier League at the moment; Arsenal are finding out just how difficult it is to beat them over the course of a season just like Liverpool under Klopp. Obviously most of the drama might be off the pitch this season with the 155 charges, but for the time being we have an excellent clash on the pitch to enjoy. Both sides had disappointing draws midweek in the Champions League, however City dropping points at home was more disappointing – they were trading in the 1.5’s compared to Arsenal in the low 1.9’s. Clashes between these two have turned into very tactical and tight affairs recently; one wonders will either of the managers be brave enough to play an open game this time.
It’s no surprise that Manchester City come into the game as favourites with home advantage. The home win is trading 1.87 with Arsenal 5.0 and the draw is 3.65. Although we have two of the best attacking sides in the Premier League here – the only side who can create as much is Liverpool – we also have the two best defensive sides too. Everyone was expecting drama in March last season but we saw a pretty boring 0-0. Under 2.5 goals has collected in the last three meetings, and that’s trading 1.84 this time around. With only three ticks between the Manchester City win and Under 2.5 goals, the goals option is going to be a popular bet this weekend. However, looking at the stats Arsenal haven’t been playing great at the start of the season – I know they are fresh off a North London Derby win, but their average xG created is only 1.38 compared to Man City at 2.02. And Arsenal have been conceding more chances this season too – their average xG conceded at 1.34 is only marginally under their created figure. There’s no doubt these are the top two sides, but I feel today is the time for City to strike – they are worth backing at 1.87.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Manchester City to beat Arsenal at 1.87 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MncArl
